{ "ticker": { "uuid": "82182f47-eadf-49dc-9fb0-8964471da05a", "symbol": "688499", "name": "Guangdong Lyric Robot Automation Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.386, "architecture_energy": 80.939, "architecture_maturity": 36.0, "architecture_confidence": 86.586, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.78, "rotation_up": 9.29, "upward_expansion": 19.53, "deceleration": 37.32, "rotation_down": 74.99, "downward_expansion": 92.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 35.113333, 38.483091, 44.046857, 46.999226 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 36.82, "trend_reference": 51.458333, "distance_from_trend": -0.28447, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 38.444295, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.042251, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -32.873343, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.387354, "excess_performance": -0.344151, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.28447, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.090269, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.042251, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.442686, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.328733, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.299519, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.387354, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.618776, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18049924, "relative_activity": 0.756991, "balance": 0.618776, "dry_up": 0.845071, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.17244, "annualized_volatility": 0.647161, "from_high_reference": -0.539059, "from_low_reference": 0.231438 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 51.458333, "fair_value_reference": 38.444295, "structural_low": 29.9, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.051468, "positive_rate": 0.28, "directional_follow_through": 0.72, "median_excess_return": -0.044746, "regime_survival": 0.92, "best_return": 0.304748, "worst_return": -0.292403, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.212134, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.175334, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.37758, "worst_return": -0.4046, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.401225, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.342106, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.282766, "worst_return": -0.542221, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.778234, "energy": 79.939804, "activity_lines": [ 41.001334, 44.449637, 48.174334, 50.55486 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 32.619999, "volume": 23199429, "typical_volume": 23953568.6, "trend": 52.945666, "fair_value": 38.70141, "relative_strength": -39.45011, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.437166, "energy": 84.878878, "activity_lines": [ 37.494667, 41.701818, 46.514143, 49.197333 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 34.209999, "volume": 18163870, "typical_volume": 23789453.5, "trend": 52.155, "fair_value": 38.543205, "relative_strength": -36.304048, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.644355, "energy": 84.39113, "activity_lines": [ 35.476, 39.640909, 45.106095, 47.988581 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 36.82, "volume": 18049924, "typical_volume": 23844296.75, "trend": 51.458333, "fair_value": 38.444295, "relative_strength": -32.873343, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.386179, "energy": 80.939241, "activity_lines": [ 35.113333, 38.483091, 44.046857, 46.999226 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }