{ "ticker": { "uuid": "821d4161-f794-4c88-9ffa-73fb4816861f", "symbol": "5478", "name": "Soft-World International Corporation", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 68.675, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -10.639, "architecture_energy": 14.422, "architecture_maturity": 12.413, "architecture_confidence": 49.672, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.01, "rotation_up": 16.9, "upward_expansion": 18.11, "deceleration": 64.98, "rotation_down": 50.07, "downward_expansion": 34.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 99.273335, 100.274546, 100.516191, 100.308094 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 99.300003, "trend_reference": 99.534546, "distance_from_trend": -0.002356, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 105.638466, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.060001, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -27.388762, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.04991, "excess_performance": -0.391462, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.002356, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033186, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.060001, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000809, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.273888, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04608, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.04991, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.042187, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 474125, "relative_activity": 0.666153, "balance": 1.042187, "dry_up": 0.484329, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.042374, "annualized_volatility": 0.163178, "from_high_reference": -0.093151, "from_low_reference": 0.138524 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 99.534546, "fair_value_reference": 105.638466, "structural_low": 94.113635, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.028037, "positive_rate": 0.263158, "directional_follow_through": 0.263158, "median_excess_return": -0.018645, "regime_survival": 0.473684, "best_return": 0.069091, "worst_return": -0.161157, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.069329, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.3, "median_excess_return": -0.08603, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.070785, "worst_return": -0.135961, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.077047, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.093738, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.474382, "worst_return": -0.157882, 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61.507788, "activity_lines": [ 104.033333, 102.452727, 101.155184, 99.991686 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 101.5, "volume": 368375, "typical_volume": 1082003.15, "trend": 98.352273, "fair_value": 105.111168, "relative_strength": -29.034544, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.295367, "energy": 38.623916, "activity_lines": [ 103.2, 102.558182, 101.26079, 100.218465 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 98.5, "volume": 467232, "typical_volume": 1076940.5, "trend": 98.594773, "fair_value": 105.215846, "relative_strength": -25.957324, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.92968, "energy": 13.106219, "activity_lines": [ 101.533333, 102.036364, 101.047727, 100.227996 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 98.800003, "volume": 241127, "typical_volume": 989316.8, "trend": 98.834849, "fair_value": 105.309145, "relative_strength": -26.598468, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.544674, "energy": 13.763021, "activity_lines": [ 100.233334, 101.529091, 100.849005, 100.241237 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 99.5, "volume": 366151, "typical_volume": 877867.4, "trend": 99.107576, "fair_value": 105.428213, "relative_strength": -24.370197, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.940077, "energy": 18.562354, "activity_lines": [ 99.680001, 101.13091, 100.721256, 100.28415 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 99.5, "volume": 297453, "typical_volume": 801167.9, "trend": 99.321288, "fair_value": 105.539301, "relative_strength": -25.475131, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.283674, "energy": 18.823458, "activity_lines": [ 99.360001, 100.725455, 100.616667, 100.309467 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 99.300003, "volume": 474125, "typical_volume": 711735.65, "trend": 99.534546, "fair_value": 105.638466, "relative_strength": -27.388762, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -10.639491, "energy": 14.421986, "activity_lines": [ 99.273335, 100.274546, 100.516191, 100.308094 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }