{ "ticker": { "uuid": "823a3d53-f443-4cc6-8fe2-889b1e10d34f", "symbol": "ADVT", "name": "AdvancedAdvT Limited", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 55.271, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 34.496, "architecture_energy": 49.598, "architecture_maturity": 8.198, "architecture_confidence": 71.478, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.89, "rotation_up": 67.98, "upward_expansion": 50.36, "deceleration": 20.32, "rotation_down": 14.5, "downward_expansion": 23.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 169.5, 164.181818, 161.321429, 161.38172 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 175.0, "trend_reference": 162.416667, "distance_from_trend": 0.077476, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 140.086538, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.249228, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.611687, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.060606, "excess_performance": 0.009371, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.077476, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.03112, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.249228, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.047668, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.066117, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.074345, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.060606, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 9.510003, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1012268, "relative_activity": 0.966285, "balance": 9.510003, "dry_up": 0.790071, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.059013, "annualized_volatility": 0.199207, "from_high_reference": -0.186047, "from_low_reference": 0.258993 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 162.416667, "fair_value_reference": 140.086538, "structural_low": 139.0, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.027875, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.027229, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.084746, "worst_return": 0.0, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.094512, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.108171, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.213415, "worst_return": -0.02439, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.453833, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.364019, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.792683, "worst_return": 0.114983, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"2024-12-20", "end": "2025-01-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.027875, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.066667, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.133333, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.166667, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.105263, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.043478, "active": 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155.0, "volume": 492340, "typical_volume": 1188017.4, "trend": 164.05, "fair_value": 136.535256, "relative_strength": -16.721115, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.680354, "energy": 30.132279, "activity_lines": [ 154.833333, 155.590909, 158.690476, 160.707527 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 155.0, "volume": 83025, "typical_volume": 1149192.95, "trend": 163.383333, "fair_value": 137.048077, "relative_strength": -17.67585, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.292982, "energy": 27.355306, "activity_lines": [ 155.0, 155.227273, 158.27381, 160.123656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 157.5, "volume": 429190, "typical_volume": 1125345.35, "trend": 162.8, "fair_value": 137.596154, "relative_strength": -14.60849, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.792421, "energy": 19.954853, "activity_lines": [ 155.833333, 155.5, 158.107143, 159.744086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 160.0, "volume": 550543, "typical_volume": 1068298.8, "trend": 162.3, "fair_value": 138.160256, "relative_strength": -13.726677, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -28.413829, "energy": 13.140189, "activity_lines": [ 157.333333, 156.272727, 158.142857, 159.563441 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 170.0, "volume": 841841, "typical_volume": 1059668.9, "trend": 162.3, "fair_value": 138.788462, "relative_strength": -8.969757, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -2.07316, "energy": 10.694553, "activity_lines": [ 161.833333, 158.863636, 159.083333, 160.060215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 170.0, "volume": 906024, "typical_volume": 1054125.85, "trend": 162.216667, "fair_value": 139.416667, "relative_strength": -9.500353, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.76619, "energy": 29.167696, "activity_lines": [ 165.333333, 161.181818, 159.97619, 160.556989 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 175.0, "volume": 1012268, "typical_volume": 1047587.95, "trend": 162.416667, "fair_value": 140.086538, "relative_strength": -6.611687, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 34.496237, "energy": 49.597629, "activity_lines": [ 169.5, 164.181818, 161.321429, 161.38172 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }