{ "ticker": { "uuid": "825c3551-614c-4ffa-8f4f-2319d9d8b46b", "symbol": "S1SN34", "name": "SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -16.352, "architecture_energy": 30.094, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 66.761, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.06, "rotation_up": 26.0, "upward_expansion": 35.82, "deceleration": 53.0, "rotation_down": 23.67, "downward_expansion": 48.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 58.014667, 57.989454, 57.344351, 58.354336 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 58.02, "trend_reference": 61.567473, "distance_from_trend": -0.057619, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 64.618247, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.102111, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -21.353862, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.286736, "excess_performance": -0.229688, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.057619, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.112108, "read": "Falling" 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53.560062, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.421053, "directional_follow_through": 0.473684, "median_excess_return": -0.020041, "regime_survival": 0.842105, "best_return": 0.221959, "worst_return": -0.129422, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.021213, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.011039, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.208884, "worst_return": -0.273742, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.271921, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.155196, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.281316, "worst_return": -0.348069, "sufficient": false }, { 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"activity_lines": [ 57.939999, 56.924973, 57.34509, 60.256414 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 57.939999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2.3, "trend": 64.677388, "fair_value": 64.312226, "relative_strength": -27.391754, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.384869, "energy": 34.296713, "activity_lines": [ 57.939999, 57.200417, 57.295867, 59.771412 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 58.02, "volume": 2, "typical_volume": 0.75, "trend": 63.899909, "fair_value": 64.376914, "relative_strength": -24.671076, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.552729, "energy": 35.123255, "activity_lines": [ 57.966666, 57.485457, 57.279009, 59.341903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 58.02, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.65, "trend": 63.12243, "fair_value": 64.441603, "relative_strength": -23.911029, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -27.793177, "energy": 36.053551, "activity_lines": [ 57.988, 57.734546, 57.280378, 58.962554 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 58.02, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.65, "trend": 62.344951, "fair_value": 64.529925, "relative_strength": -24.657671, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -21.862846, "energy": 33.207419, "activity_lines": [ 58.004, 57.902545, 57.302159, 58.633365 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 58.02, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.65, "trend": 61.567473, "fair_value": 64.618247, "relative_strength": -21.353862, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -16.352075, "energy": 30.094443, "activity_lines": [ 58.014667, 57.989454, 57.344351, 58.354336 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }