{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "82694f57-33b4-4daa-b0b6-fb5c2cfc109d",
    "symbol": "TPR",
    "name": "Tapestry Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 71.008,
    "architecture_energy": 60.498,
    "architecture_maturity": 36.522,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.485,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 43.13,
        "rotation_up": 61.36,
        "upward_expansion": 80.85,
        "deceleration": 51.23,
        "rotation_down": 16.35,
        "downward_expansion": 16.85
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        151.515333,
        148.014909,
        145.131486,
        144.61635
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 162.36,
    "trend_reference": 143.48821,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.131522,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 77.951678,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.082829,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 11.620325,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.073474,
    "excess_performance": -0.052151,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.131522,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.07211,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.082829,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.159415,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.116203,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.093477,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.073474,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.461828,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 9340145,
      "relative_activity": 0.838984,
      "balance": 1.461828,
      "dry_up": 0.964582,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.063406,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.294318,
      "from_high_reference": -0.009638,
      "from_low_reference": 0.775701
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 143.48821,
      "fair_value_reference": 77.951678,
      "structural_low": 127.974619,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": 0.004907,
        "positive_rate": 0.529412,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.529412,
        "median_excess_return": -0.024373,
        "regime_survival": 0.411765,
        "best_return": 0.153699,
        "worst_return": -0.232969,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.102859,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.285714,
        "median_excess_return": -0.080187,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.320875,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.049545,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.020349,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
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        "worst_return": -0.180286,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.106878,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.024531,
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        "worst_return": -0.220899,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.097216,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "return": 0.089468,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.075188,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "active": true
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 11320757.4,
        "trend": 141.327446,
        "fair_value": 75.736428,
        "relative_strength": 2.172051,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 16.880783,
        "energy": 7.007983,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 142.6,
        "volume": 9116393,
        "typical_volume": 11238766.7,
        "trend": 141.728649,
        "fair_value": 76.394227,
        "relative_strength": 3.355044,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 16.526667,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 152.37,
        "volume": 10150339,
        "typical_volume": 11210361.95,
        "trend": 142.529436,
        "fair_value": 77.120195,
        "relative_strength": 8.865433,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.841649,
        "energy": 21.122255,
        "activity_lines": [
          145.486667,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 162.36,
        "volume": 9340145,
        "typical_volume": 11132689.9,
        "trend": 143.48821,
        "fair_value": 77.951678,
        "relative_strength": 11.620325,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.007964,
        "energy": 60.498496,
        "activity_lines": [
          151.515333,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}