{ "ticker": { "uuid": "827239c4-1470-4ce5-80ae-53aa8b58aea7", "symbol": "IBM", "name": "International Business Machines Corporation", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.879, "architecture_energy": 51.917, "architecture_maturity": 9.611, "architecture_confidence": 66.075, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.91, "rotation_up": 13.53, "upward_expansion": 11.22, "deceleration": 40.36, "rotation_down": 69.85, "downward_expansion": 77.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 3959.609375, 4235.414617, 4343.123487, 4369.261177 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 4051.0, "trend_reference": 4476.921126, "distance_from_trend": -0.095137, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4140.632798, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.021647, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.635947, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.208193, "excess_performance": -0.153526, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.095137, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.074284, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.021647, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016733, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.176359, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.110911, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.208193, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.974797, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5721, "relative_activity": 1.213079, "balance": 1.974797, "dry_up": 2.052066, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.119569, "annualized_volatility": 0.658211, "from_high_reference": -0.324324, "from_low_reference": 0.157759 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4476.921126, "fair_value_reference": 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4232.405404, 4457.135165, 4423.593573, 4445.152323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3857.610107, "volume": 10052, "typical_volume": 4631.2, "trend": 4520.153499, "fair_value": 4130.233344, "relative_strength": -21.916839, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.719169, "energy": 47.54025, "activity_lines": [ 4034.829411, 4323.763175, 4372.783995, 4399.529145 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4051.0, "volume": 5721, "typical_volume": 4716.1, "trend": 4476.921126, "fair_value": 4140.632798, "relative_strength": -17.635947, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.87931, "energy": 51.91748, "activity_lines": [ 3959.609375, 4235.414617, 4343.123487, 4369.261177 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }