{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8273db9f-e5a5-4a33-96e0-20bd15ecfe85", "symbol": "OOMA", "name": "Ooma Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 74.828, "architecture_energy": 74.617, "architecture_maturity": 30.0, "architecture_confidence": 85.743, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.1, "rotation_up": 74.04, "upward_expansion": 91.24, "deceleration": 45.22, "rotation_down": 13.61, "downward_expansion": 15.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.228667, 20.293818, 19.181952, 17.956602 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 21.97, "trend_reference": 16.211333, "distance_from_trend": 0.355225, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 12.439487, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.76615, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 38.104935, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.852445, "excess_performance": 0.72682, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.355225, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.196055, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.76615, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.159841, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.381049, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.022111, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.852445, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.665967, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1801763, "relative_activity": 1.13193, "balance": 1.665967, "dry_up": 1.230885, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085401, "annualized_volatility": 0.402955, "from_high_reference": -0.033011, "from_low_reference": 1.243554 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 16.211333, "fair_value_reference": 12.439487, "structural_low": 11.02, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.006129, "positive_rate": 0.45, "directional_follow_through": 0.45, "median_excess_return": -0.018054, "regime_survival": 0.65, "best_return": 0.389209, "worst_return": -0.13557, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.030355, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.043689, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.282895, "worst_return": -0.184392, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.079353, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.254422, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.155348, "worst_return": -0.270028, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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1328198, "typical_volume": 1475875.15, "trend": 14.927333, "fair_value": 12.272628, "relative_strength": 34.748477, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.947721, "energy": 55.030423, "activity_lines": [ 19.064, 18.552182, 17.657, 16.480559 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 20.67, "volume": 1725319, "typical_volume": 1517301.6, "trend": 15.229, "fair_value": 12.312308, "relative_strength": 39.092497, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.59969, "energy": 75.416394, "activity_lines": [ 19.769333, 18.950364, 18.049714, 16.851054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 20.02, "volume": 1646408, "typical_volume": 1499641.7, "trend": 15.510667, "fair_value": 12.345641, "relative_strength": 34.460005, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.121572, "energy": 69.981078, "activity_lines": [ 20.05, 19.205636, 18.340952, 17.160151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.75, "volume": 2663617, "typical_volume": 1570854.95, "trend": 15.864333, "fair_value": 12.391731, "relative_strength": 42.974388, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.002392, "energy": 78.864765, "activity_lines": [ 20.712667, 19.753636, 18.77019, 17.562688 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.97, "volume": 1801763, "typical_volume": 1591762.45, "trend": 16.211333, "fair_value": 12.439487, "relative_strength": 38.104935, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.827693, "energy": 74.616543, "activity_lines": [ 21.228667, 20.293818, 19.181952, 17.956602 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }