{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8282b833-0714-48b5-909d-d913aea939c7",
    "symbol": "B500",
    "name": "Amundi Index Solutions - Amundi S&P 500 Buyback",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 89.058,
    "architecture_energy": 74.569,
    "architecture_maturity": 70.638,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.048,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.54,
        "rotation_up": 71.75,
        "upward_expansion": 87.67,
        "deceleration": 65.72,
        "rotation_down": 21.68,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        335.061504
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 357.600006,
    "trend_reference": 327.772999,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.090999,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 286.999792,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.245994,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.540355,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.124917,
    "excess_performance": -0.045974,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.090999,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040166,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.245994,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.087906,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.035404,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037684,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.124917,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.112515,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 578,
      "relative_activity": 1.035935,
      "balance": 1.112515,
      "dry_up": 2.213012,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.01504,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.078027,
      "from_high_reference": -0.010515,
      "from_low_reference": 0.2295
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 327.772999,
      "fair_value_reference": 286.999792,
      "structural_low": 309.320007,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 36,
        "median_return": 0.007992,
        "positive_rate": 0.527778,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.527778,
        "median_excess_return": -0.007053,
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        "best_return": 0.087515,
        "worst_return": -0.072653,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": 0.011254,
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      },
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      },
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        "trend": 322.843332,
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        "relative_strength": -4.313914,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 896,
        "typical_volume": 543.3,
        "trend": 324.048665,
        "fair_value": 284.756459,
        "relative_strength": -2.865604,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.677802,
        "energy": 93.260556,
        "activity_lines": [
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          329.905267
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 349.799988,
        "volume": 1280,
        "typical_volume": 573.7,
        "trend": 325.312331,
        "fair_value": 285.486907,
        "relative_strength": -2.401429,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.958012,
        "energy": 91.563497,
        "activity_lines": [
          348.489998,
          345.507272,
          337.185378,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 348.450012,
        "volume": 2185,
        "typical_volume": 544.0,
        "trend": 326.567332,
        "fair_value": 286.214151,
        "relative_strength": -3.318789,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.1241,
        "energy": 69.183871,
        "activity_lines": [
          348.820003,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 357.600006,
        "volume": 578,
        "typical_volume": 557.95,
        "trend": 327.772999,
        "fair_value": 286.999792,
        "relative_strength": -3.540355,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.057659,
        "energy": 74.569222,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}