{ "ticker": { "uuid": "82962435-b61b-478b-b349-3d94c5f57a3f", "symbol": "5203", "name": "CyberLink Corp.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.332, "architecture_energy": 45.294, "architecture_maturity": 22.218, "architecture_confidence": 83.453, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.72, "rotation_up": 12.21, "upward_expansion": 6.36, "deceleration": 42.94, "rotation_down": 65.26, "downward_expansion": 82.03 }, "activity_lines": [ 60.809429, 61.780642, 62.505151, 62.529967 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 59.099998, "trend_reference": 64.080913, "distance_from_trend": -0.077729, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 83.041337, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.288306, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -44.774373, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.17829, "excess_performance": -0.524022, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.077729, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.116113, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.288306, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011791, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.447744, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.076947, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.17829, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.852217, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 842870, "relative_activity": 0.615902, "balance": 0.852217, "dry_up": 0.780318, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.06941, "annualized_volatility": 0.312126, "from_high_reference": -0.42818, "from_low_reference": 0.041835 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 64.080913, "fair_value_reference": 83.041337, "structural_low": 56.726827, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.027396, "positive_rate": 0.388889, "directional_follow_through": 0.388889, "median_excess_return": -0.032803, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.113547, "worst_return": -0.089552, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.017101, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.006633, "regime_survival": 0.125, "best_return": 0.084044, "worst_return": -0.092308, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.010631, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.019553, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.113678, "worst_return": -0.126269, "sufficient": true }, { 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"typical_volume": 1384443.2, "trend": 65.618121, "fair_value": 83.416463, "relative_strength": -42.141863, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.473422, "energy": 25.089973, "activity_lines": [ 62.169832, 63.098834, 62.936619, 63.200585 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 61.0, "volume": 1159498, "typical_volume": 1394450.9, "trend": 64.876464, "fair_value": 83.214623, "relative_strength": -44.78899, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.243985, "energy": 30.218581, "activity_lines": [ 61.693891, 62.550919, 62.811872, 62.902642 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 59.099998, "volume": 842870, "typical_volume": 1368512.55, "trend": 64.080913, "fair_value": 83.041337, "relative_strength": -44.774373, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.331588, "energy": 45.293921, "activity_lines": [ 60.809429, 61.780642, 62.505151, 62.529967 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }