{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "829f5923-8c56-43c9-b7aa-3354c4cba3c8",
    "symbol": "PABU",
    "name": "ISHARES PARIS-ALIGNED CLIMATE MSCI USA ETF",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 66.599,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 71.118,
    "architecture_energy": 39.783,
    "architecture_maturity": 40.7,
    "architecture_confidence": 48.366,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 37.9,
        "rotation_up": 41.44,
        "upward_expansion": 69.01,
        "deceleration": 70.83,
        "rotation_down": 26.41,
        "downward_expansion": 9.35
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        76.522787,
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        74.396212
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 78.9995,
    "trend_reference": 72.774854,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.085533,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 62.510318,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.263783,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -4.145605,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.132622,
    "excess_performance": -0.054831,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.085533,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018058,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.263783,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.000676,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.041456,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.049733,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.132622,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.395447,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 56096,
      "relative_activity": 0.283128,
      "balance": 1.395447,
      "dry_up": 0.153445,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.03029,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.172168,
      "from_high_reference": -0.017229,
      "from_low_reference": 0.239056
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 72.774854,
      "fair_value_reference": 62.510318,
      "structural_low": 63.757821,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.01804,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.011417,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.051112,
        "worst_return": -0.003601,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.074251,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.009042,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.117317,
        "worst_return": -0.138223,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.169403,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.030407,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.174002,
        "worst_return": 0.037278,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.233834,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.044466,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.355753,
        "worst_return": 0.111915,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-02-07",
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        "return": -0.001614,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.014202,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.054681,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.104503,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.127376,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-05-30",
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        "return": 0.019239,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "return": 0.041393,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "label": "Rotation Down",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 364406.95,
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        "fair_value": 59.853201,
        "relative_strength": -6.538073,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 362440.9,
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        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 344004.25,
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        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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        "energy": 90.486319,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 368158.3,
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        "fair_value": 60.881062,
        "relative_strength": -6.212033,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 366766.65,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 61.427898,
        "relative_strength": -8.885781,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 45.073546,
        "energy": 34.183458,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 38593,
        "typical_volume": 242771.25,
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        "fair_value": 61.612282,
        "relative_strength": -7.457556,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 41.156934,
        "energy": 28.356311,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 241049.25,
        "trend": 72.331474,
        "fair_value": 61.797872,
        "relative_strength": -7.141973,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.284967,
        "energy": 34.907701,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 75.3197,
        "volume": 24460,
        "typical_volume": 236290.6,
        "trend": 72.430671,
        "fair_value": 61.968329,
        "relative_strength": -5.482701,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 40.742828,
        "energy": 28.142598,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 74.1113,
        "volume": 9436,
        "typical_volume": 225939.9,
        "trend": 72.453331,
        "fair_value": 62.128994,
        "relative_strength": -5.297667,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.969341,
        "energy": 25.023483,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 75.6272,
        "volume": 31616,
        "typical_volume": 224723.8,
        "trend": 72.56621,
        "fair_value": 62.308197,
        "relative_strength": -3.720167,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.50932,
        "energy": 23.078276,
        "activity_lines": [
          75.411013,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 78.9995,
        "volume": 56096,
        "typical_volume": 198129.15,
        "trend": 72.774854,
        "fair_value": 62.510318,
        "relative_strength": -4.145605,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.11833,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}