{ "ticker": { "uuid": "82aa0e78-909b-4205-8835-c9b5a2f1c8ec", "symbol": "IBIH", "name": "ISHARES TRUST IBONDS OCT 2031 TERM TIPS ETF USD", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 67.988, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -56.008, "architecture_energy": 43.245, "architecture_maturity": 31.411, "architecture_confidence": 93.204, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.97, "rotation_up": 27.01, "upward_expansion": 7.01, "deceleration": 48.95, "rotation_down": 41.32, "downward_expansion": 75.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.622293, 25.634632, 25.711363, 25.819525 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 25.6358, "trend_reference": 25.939514, "distance_from_trend": -0.011709, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 24.64389, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.04025, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.107435, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.019229, "excess_performance": -0.144854, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.011709, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004229, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.04025, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.013345, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.121074, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00928, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.019229, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.815521, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 139551, "relative_activity": 1.795856, "balance": 0.815521, "dry_up": 1.160365, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.006009, "annualized_volatility": 0.043295, "from_high_reference": -0.031881, "from_low_reference": 0.004871 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.939514, "fair_value_reference": 24.64389, "structural_low": 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25.638207, 25.731579, 25.839826 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.6358, "volume": 139551, "typical_volume": 77707.25, "trend": 25.939514, "fair_value": 24.64389, "relative_strength": -12.107435, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.008462, "energy": 43.245016, "activity_lines": [ 25.622293, 25.634632, 25.711363, 25.819525 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }