{ "ticker": { "uuid": "82b7013b-bab1-45c9-b69e-69dea97ee91b", "symbol": "PCED", "name": "Ishares III PLC - Ishares MSCI Pacific Ex-Japan CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETF", "exchange": "EBS", "country": "CH", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SSMI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 57.969, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 86.372, "architecture_energy": 77.38, "architecture_maturity": 23.668, "architecture_confidence": 55.155, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.", "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.48, "rotation_up": 81.91, "upward_expansion": 90.14, "deceleration": 42.49, "rotation_down": 8.22, "downward_expansion": 14.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.7292, 6.633873, 6.600867, 6.598258 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 6.9, "trend_reference": 6.597467, "distance_from_trend": 0.045856, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.579683, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.236629, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.273125, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.043399, "excess_performance": -0.039484, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.045856, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020527, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.236629, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00513, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.032731, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.072677, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.043399, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.777495, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 125807, "relative_activity": 0.825901, "balance": 0.777495, "dry_up": 0.541534, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.018328, "annualized_volatility": 0.179623, "from_high_reference": -0.013017, "from_low_reference": 0.162987 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.597467, "fair_value_reference": 5.579683, "structural_low": 6.197, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout 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"close": 6.602, "volume": 10601, "typical_volume": 149307.15, "trend": 6.551, "fair_value": 5.543654, "relative_strength": -6.603524, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 4.586843, "energy": 5.342155, "activity_lines": [ 6.542867, 6.514709, 6.548648, 6.564338 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.613, "volume": 134076, "typical_volume": 149674.95, "trend": 6.562667, "fair_value": 5.553974, "relative_strength": -6.172779, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 13.809801, "energy": 18.006843, "activity_lines": [ 6.5748, 6.532909, 6.554576, 6.568338 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.703, "volume": 59477, "typical_volume": 152118.2, "trend": 6.576567, "fair_value": 5.565849, "relative_strength": -4.876923, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 27.885084, "energy": 29.143791, "activity_lines": [ 6.629867, 6.566818, 6.568743, 6.577391 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.9, "volume": 125807, "typical_volume": 152326.9, "trend": 6.597467, "fair_value": 5.579683, "relative_strength": -3.273125, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.371925, "energy": 77.380385, "activity_lines": [ 6.7292, 6.633873, 6.600867, 6.598258 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }