{ "ticker": { "uuid": "82cb0042-2bba-4b15-a16e-c1c5a823f1f8", "symbol": "PATANJALI", "name": "Patanjali Foods Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.392, "architecture_energy": 87.343, "architecture_maturity": 82.877, "architecture_confidence": 83.551, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.68, "rotation_up": 8.34, "upward_expansion": 21.4, "deceleration": 37.27, "rotation_down": 81.09, "downward_expansion": 97.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 354.343335, 374.38182, 404.543459, 425.338899 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 357.5, "trend_reference": 453.086833, "distance_from_trend": -0.210968, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 526.568299, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.321076, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.52124, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.31526, "excess_performance": -0.27155, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.210968, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.110885, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.321076, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.200782, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.285212, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.157423, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.31526, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.66526, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 16576425, "relative_activity": 1.07745, "balance": 0.66526, "dry_up": 3.061224, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.065035, "annualized_volatility": 0.31867, "from_high_reference": -0.414782, "from_low_reference": 0.089275 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 453.086833, "fair_value_reference": 526.568299, "structural_low": 328.200012, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.027611, "positive_rate": 0.315789, "directional_follow_through": 0.684211, "median_excess_return": -0.025974, "regime_survival": 0.842105, "best_return": 0.120544, "worst_return": -0.136056, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.023497, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.00451, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.389945, "worst_return": -0.130876, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.076897, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.071038, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.357285, "worst_return": -0.242349, "sufficient": false }, { 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407.195457, 429.825881, 447.678051 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 340.950012, "volume": 23882728, "typical_volume": 13318609.0, "trend": 466.174077, "fair_value": 527.590905, "relative_strength": -30.864878, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -92.81519, "energy": 96.168328, "activity_lines": [ 369.160006, 392.36455, 419.761312, 439.161312 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 353.899994, "volume": 39318145, "typical_volume": 14874523.55, "trend": 459.473319, "fair_value": 526.983037, "relative_strength": -29.362179, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.345118, "energy": 90.075173, "activity_lines": [ 359.196669, 382.050002, 411.681185, 431.917822 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 357.5, "volume": 16576425, "typical_volume": 15384861.4, "trend": 453.086833, "fair_value": 526.568299, "relative_strength": -28.52124, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.391539, "energy": 87.342773, "activity_lines": [ 354.343335, 374.38182, 404.543459, 425.338899 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }