{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "82d5ffe4-0ad2-4fed-bd85-53008e4f18cf",
    "symbol": "002086",
    "name": "Shandong Oriental Ocean Sci-Tech Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -41.533,
    "architecture_energy": 29.122,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 85.02,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 32.93,
        "rotation_up": 26.53,
        "upward_expansion": 15.55,
        "deceleration": 46.51,
        "rotation_down": 33.72,
        "downward_expansion": 63.21
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.798667,
        1.778545,
        1.826762,
        1.907355
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 1.88,
    "trend_reference": 2.028,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.072978,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 2.47609,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.240738,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -21.377537,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.175439,
    "excess_performance": -0.182838,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.072978,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.109224,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.240738,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.04351,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.213775,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.138602,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.175439,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.585777,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 178852573,
      "relative_activity": 1.046176,
      "balance": 0.585777,
      "dry_up": 1.026942,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.074059,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.304261,
      "from_high_reference": -0.426829,
      "from_low_reference": 0.153374
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2.028,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.47609,
      "structural_low": 1.63,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 26,
        "median_return": -0.006308,
        "positive_rate": 0.461538,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.538462,
        "median_excess_return": -0.01908,
        "regime_survival": 0.769231,
        "best_return": 0.402715,
        "worst_return": -0.106618,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.014748,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.024415,
        "regime_survival": 0.7,
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        "worst_return": -0.157676,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.05098,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": 0.082475,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.300926,
        "worst_return": -0.231061,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.333333,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.069031,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.351852,
        "worst_return": -0.18797,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
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      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-03-21",
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        "return": 0.440613,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": -0.089041,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1.7,
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        "fair_value": 2.48609,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.81,
        "volume": 154090565,
        "typical_volume": 207231953.2,
        "trend": 2.042333,
        "fair_value": 2.480577,
        "relative_strength": -21.381594,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -56.747619,
        "energy": 41.919396,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.759333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.88,
        "volume": 178852573,
        "typical_volume": 170958474.55,
        "trend": 2.028,
        "fair_value": 2.47609,
        "relative_strength": -21.377537,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -41.533339,
        "energy": 29.121704,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}