{ "ticker": { "uuid": "82d75c04-7cb0-4964-9be0-cd15999d1b6d", "symbol": "PCELL", "name": "PowerCell Sweden AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -49.9, "architecture_energy": 47.325, "architecture_maturity": 14.317, "architecture_confidence": 76.143, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.82, "rotation_up": 9.85, "upward_expansion": 15.03, "deceleration": 47.92, "rotation_down": 66.02, "downward_expansion": 78.7 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.157334, 20.856182, 22.977381, 22.878473 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 20.700001, "trend_reference": 23.101667, "distance_from_trend": -0.103961, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 32.656731, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.366134, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -33.716582, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.018027, "excess_performance": -0.079521, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.103961, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.168546, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.366134, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.07187, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.337166, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.186696, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.018027, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.081702, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 772330, "relative_activity": 0.626862, "balance": 1.081702, "dry_up": 0.943838, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.177035, "annualized_volatility": 0.85381, "from_high_reference": -0.573196, "from_low_reference": 0.881818 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.101667, "fair_value_reference": 32.656731, "structural_low": 11.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 41, "median_return": 0.040796, "positive_rate": 0.560976, "directional_follow_through": 0.439024, "median_excess_return": 0.0142, "regime_survival": 0.804878, "best_return": 0.454348, "worst_return": -0.307191, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.052632, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.466667, "median_excess_return": 0.025754, "regime_survival": 0.466667, "best_return": 0.71392, "worst_return": -0.499481, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.213167, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.243502, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.370968, "worst_return": -0.583095, "sufficient": true 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"energy": 25.588516, "activity_lines": [ 22.905334, 25.169455, 24.473048, 24.189032 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 20.02, "volume": 1109470, "typical_volume": 1713438.0, "trend": 24.451333, "fair_value": 34.499102, "relative_strength": -36.505423, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.201446, "energy": 39.213928, "activity_lines": [ 21.684, 24.051636, 24.155714, 23.866753 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 19.639999, "volume": 2246867, "typical_volume": 1760619.65, "trend": 24.044667, "fair_value": 34.007179, "relative_strength": -36.304889, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.879277, "energy": 50.771858, "activity_lines": [ 20.841333, 22.977091, 23.805524, 23.556344 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 19.92, "volume": 755663, "typical_volume": 1736385.05, "trend": 23.677333, "fair_value": 33.507692, "relative_strength": -35.464509, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.519624, "energy": 55.639237, "activity_lines": [ 20.329333, 22.082909, 23.501619, 23.290236 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.950001, "volume": 876589, "typical_volume": 1305650.3, "trend": 23.355, "fair_value": 33.060449, "relative_strength": -35.484859, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.665032, "energy": 53.55911, "activity_lines": [ 20.039334, 21.314909, 23.211429, 23.049763 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.700001, "volume": 772330, "typical_volume": 1232057.6, "trend": 23.101667, "fair_value": 32.656731, "relative_strength": -33.716582, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.899565, "energy": 47.324917, "activity_lines": [ 20.157334, 20.856182, 22.977381, 22.878473 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }