{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "82d8042b-d839-4819-b9c4-537f69e53f5f",
    "symbol": "ZMI",
    "name": "BMO Monthly Income ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 55.711,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 71.422,
    "architecture_energy": 55.139,
    "architecture_maturity": 87.719,
    "architecture_confidence": 60.49,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 14.28,
        "rotation_up": 49.57,
        "upward_expansion": 78.52,
        "deceleration": 68.61,
        "rotation_down": 29.43,
        "downward_expansion": 14.19
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        19.951925,
        19.948961,
        19.768752,
        19.544664
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 20.049999,
    "trend_reference": 19.271946,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.040372,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 16.935403,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.18391,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -5.7857,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.060051,
    "excess_performance": -0.060371,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040372,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022366,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.18391,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01521,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.057857,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.009837,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060051,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.66938,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 105100,
      "relative_activity": 1.423059,
      "balance": 2.66938,
      "dry_up": 0.814095,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.011437,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.069735,
      "from_high_reference": -0.005456,
      "from_low_reference": 0.142803
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 19.271946,
      "fair_value_reference": 16.935403,
      "structural_low": 18.271875,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 43,
        "median_return": 0.006879,
        "positive_rate": 0.72093,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.72093,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004898,
        "regime_survival": 0.813953,
        "best_return": 0.031502,
        "worst_return": -0.043431,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "median_excess_return": 0.00262,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.013411,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.051916,
        "positive_rate": 0.875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004491,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.08692,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.046847,
        "sufficient": false
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      },
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 79065.0,
        "trend": 19.131688,
        "fair_value": 16.824723,
        "relative_strength": -4.57563,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.638017,
        "energy": 64.499539,
        "activity_lines": [
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          19.602716,
          19.392613
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 19.959724,
        "volume": 41200,
        "typical_volume": 73325.0,
        "trend": 19.169116,
        "fair_value": 16.861288,
        "relative_strength": -4.045451,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.278498,
        "energy": 63.600272,
        "activity_lines": [
          19.947754,
          19.917788,
          19.664223,
          19.446034
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 19.870001,
        "volume": 48500,
        "typical_volume": 72315.0,
        "trend": 19.222127,
        "fair_value": 16.897913,
        "relative_strength": -3.831406,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.913271,
        "energy": 53.738216,
        "activity_lines": [
          19.919841,
          19.919321,
          19.711037,
          19.491253
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 20.049999,
        "volume": 105100,
        "typical_volume": 73855.0,
        "trend": 19.271946,
        "fair_value": 16.935403,
        "relative_strength": -5.7857,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.421795,
        "energy": 55.138504,
        "activity_lines": [
          19.951925,
          19.948961,
          19.768752,
          19.544664
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}