{ "ticker": { "uuid": "82e15b3e-8180-4a07-8372-a4481984ac8e", "symbol": "688327", "name": "CloudWalk Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.708, "architecture_energy": 73.305, "architecture_maturity": 26.447, "architecture_confidence": 83.693, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.1, "rotation_up": 9.95, "upward_expansion": 16.46, "deceleration": 37.79, "rotation_down": 75.19, "downward_expansion": 92.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.821333, 11.439818, 12.302619, 12.836258 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 11.23, "trend_reference": 13.705, "distance_from_trend": -0.180591, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 13.782308, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.185187, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.182199, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.28879, "excess_performance": -0.245587, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.180591, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060873, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.185187, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.173792, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.221822, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.112117, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.28879, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.839808, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 116462992, "relative_activity": 1.03678, "balance": 0.839808, "dry_up": 1.042847, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.12542, "annualized_volatility": 0.500821, "from_high_reference": -0.420537, "from_low_reference": 0.151795 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.705, "fair_value_reference": 13.782308, "structural_low": 9.75, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.037203, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.030125, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.281654, "worst_return": -0.23384, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.006478, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.035672, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.463072, "worst_return": -0.265289, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.164826, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.013109, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.62837, "worst_return": -0.265289, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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12.540909, 13.013238, 13.484753 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.85, "volume": 121544739, "typical_volume": 116166162.5, "trend": 13.927, "fair_value": 13.858974, "relative_strength": -30.710336, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.301465, "energy": 82.422711, "activity_lines": [ 11.090667, 11.971091, 12.684952, 13.212817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.67, "volume": 111284492, "typical_volume": 112955062.5, "trend": 13.809667, "fair_value": 13.815641, "relative_strength": -24.660411, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.954527, "energy": 78.044491, "activity_lines": [ 10.809333, 11.619818, 12.458143, 13.002688 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.23, "volume": 116462992, "typical_volume": 112331413.35, "trend": 13.705, "fair_value": 13.782308, "relative_strength": -22.182199, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.707624, "energy": 73.305492, "activity_lines": [ 10.821333, 11.439818, 12.302619, 12.836258 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }