{ "ticker": { "uuid": "82e98167-2a18-4e3d-afff-8a817385370d", "symbol": "MADE", "name": "ISHARES U.S. MANUFACTURING ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 42.666, "architecture_energy": 19.1, "architecture_maturity": 68.926, "architecture_confidence": 85.506, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.8, "rotation_up": 27.92, "upward_expansion": 53.46, "deceleration": 90.18, "rotation_down": 28.16, "downward_expansion": 19.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 37.435753, 37.570577, 37.389058, 36.857641 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 38.5189, "trend_reference": 36.181056, "distance_from_trend": 0.064615, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 28.946483, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.330694, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.7306, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.088267, "excess_performance": -0.037358, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.064615, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.064309, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.330694, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00938, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.027306, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.037212, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.088267, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.868485, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 57830, "relative_activity": 0.607864, "balance": 0.868485, "dry_up": 0.931219, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.047562, "annualized_volatility": 0.189388, "from_high_reference": -0.029262, "from_low_reference": 0.400087 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 36.181056, "fair_value_reference": 28.946483, "structural_low": 31.883576, 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.490429, "energy": 41.545559, "activity_lines": [ 38.031795, 37.807621, 37.087427, 36.473691 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 36.5159, "volume": 123305, "typical_volume": 100143.3, "trend": 35.648757, "fair_value": 28.70325, "relative_strength": 1.966768, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.623716, "energy": 23.432285, "activity_lines": [ 37.505967, 37.619466, 37.106921, 36.5408 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 37.15, "volume": 92658, "typical_volume": 97866.75, "trend": 35.829673, "fair_value": 28.782936, "relative_strength": 4.116491, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.43579, "energy": 16.558102, "activity_lines": [ 37.263573, 37.549911, 37.185885, 36.637654 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 36.71, "volume": 80578, "typical_volume": 97042.5, "trend": 35.989436, "fair_value": 28.857021, "relative_strength": 1.583205, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.641544, "energy": 17.299082, "activity_lines": [ 36.999847, 37.394001, 37.208552, 36.69445 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 38.5189, "volume": 57830, "typical_volume": 95136.35, "trend": 36.181056, "fair_value": 28.946483, "relative_strength": 2.7306, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.66609, "energy": 19.099712, "activity_lines": [ 37.435753, 37.570577, 37.389058, 36.857641 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }