{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "82ebf846-1b7f-4924-807c-12a6357e8430",
    "symbol": "ROBT",
    "name": "FIRST TRUST NASDAQ ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE AND ROBOTICS ETF",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 80.592,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 70.836,
    "architecture_energy": 35.871,
    "architecture_maturity": 35.152,
    "architecture_confidence": 61.936,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 26.62,
        "rotation_up": 46.3,
        "upward_expansion": 72.7,
        "deceleration": 61.21,
        "rotation_down": 27.74,
        "downward_expansion": 10.7
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        55.86924,
        55.521424,
        54.972367,
        53.701898
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 59.09,
    "trend_reference": 52.590977,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.123577,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 46.579774,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.268576,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.735144,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.154327,
    "excess_performance": -0.033127,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.123577,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018157,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.268576,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.067141,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.017351,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.080822,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.154327,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.831569,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 243026,
      "relative_activity": 0.898529,
      "balance": 0.831569,
      "dry_up": 0.803573,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.051713,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.261273,
      "from_high_reference": -0.022165,
      "from_low_reference": 0.342649
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 52.590977,
      "fair_value_reference": 46.579774,
      "structural_low": 44.01,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.010432,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00043,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.069867,
        "worst_return": -0.021899,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.026538,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.069959,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.093865,
        "worst_return": -0.132973,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.002975,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.13128,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.090602,
        "worst_return": -0.035691,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.181409,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.162147,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.246563,
        "worst_return": 0.116255,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-01",
        "end": "2025-01-03",
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        "return": 0.05105,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.072256,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.024457,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.197297,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.086473,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2026-02-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.039284,
        "active": false
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      {
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        "return": -0.03564,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "fair_value": 45.983994,
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        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 365200.4,
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        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 46.172697,
        "relative_strength": -9.045353,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 43.937195,
        "energy": 30.559592,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 56.2549,
        "volume": 150949,
        "typical_volume": 324021.8,
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        "fair_value": 46.246959,
        "relative_strength": -6.143718,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 48.996675,
        "energy": 31.47422,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 191679,
        "typical_volume": 316699.0,
        "trend": 52.320157,
        "fair_value": 46.310909,
        "relative_strength": -7.729241,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.175975,
        "energy": 31.372301,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 53.8349,
        "volume": 154972,
        "typical_volume": 296559.15,
        "trend": 52.37279,
        "fair_value": 46.361131,
        "relative_strength": -7.501944,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.129324,
        "energy": 24.542669,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.106351,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 52.8839,
        "volume": 209719,
        "typical_volume": 275830.65,
        "trend": 52.379587,
        "fair_value": 46.405702,
        "relative_strength": -7.377304,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 33.001357,
        "energy": 18.430991,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 55.023,
        "volume": 261655,
        "typical_volume": 272866.35,
        "trend": 52.464977,
        "fair_value": 46.475567,
        "relative_strength": -3.961423,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.975557,
        "energy": 17.834488,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.450693,
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          54.380716,
          53.274477
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 59.09,
        "volume": 243026,
        "typical_volume": 270470.85,
        "trend": 52.590977,
        "fair_value": 46.579774,
        "relative_strength": -1.735144,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.835624,
        "energy": 35.871418,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}