{ "ticker": { "uuid": "83174048-8c5f-4694-8c0a-b5a532cafe2c", "symbol": "000509", "name": "Huasu Holdings Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.643, "architecture_energy": 65.34, "architecture_maturity": 12.265, "architecture_confidence": 79.228, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.08, "rotation_up": 9.77, "upward_expansion": 13.63, "deceleration": 38.65, "rotation_down": 73.1, "downward_expansion": 89.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.996, 3.214545, 3.562286, 3.654022 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 3.22, "trend_reference": 3.694, "distance_from_trend": -0.128316, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.383782, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.048402, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.227208, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.05848, "excess_performance": -0.065879, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.128316, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.013179, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.048402, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.251403, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.132272, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.067364, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.05848, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.368371, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 139864266, "relative_activity": 0.638859, "balance": 1.368371, "dry_up": 0.811605, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.187052, "annualized_volatility": 0.723678, "from_high_reference": -0.488889, "from_low_reference": 0.314286 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.694, "fair_value_reference": 3.383782, "structural_low": 2.45, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.023457, "positive_rate": 0.5625, "directional_follow_through": 0.4375, "median_excess_return": 0.015262, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.244186, "worst_return": -0.137584, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.002695, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.026638, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.689796, "worst_return": -0.118421, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.013245, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.053814, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.506122, "worst_return": -0.194079, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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3.860043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.83, "volume": 200077440, "typical_volume": 247787604.65, "trend": 3.741333, "fair_value": 3.389615, "relative_strength": -22.104906, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -39.65023, "energy": 52.685803, "activity_lines": [ 3.258, 3.664364, 3.807762, 3.799914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.75, "volume": 218869386, "typical_volume": 245305820.65, "trend": 3.717667, "fair_value": 3.386731, "relative_strength": -24.037542, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -46.713778, "energy": 65.857636, "activity_lines": [ 3.023333, 3.456182, 3.699762, 3.735957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.93, "volume": 151921800, "typical_volume": 229046845.65, "trend": 3.702333, "fair_value": 3.384295, "relative_strength": -17.308077, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.133993, "energy": 72.385217, "activity_lines": [ 2.936, 3.3, 3.61481, 3.68514 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.22, "volume": 139864266, "typical_volume": 218928326.05, "trend": 3.694, "fair_value": 3.383782, "relative_strength": -13.227208, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.642808, "energy": 65.339949, "activity_lines": [ 2.996, 3.214545, 3.562286, 3.654022 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }