{ "ticker": { "uuid": "832f3899-65ee-4314-8585-3f816455204d", "symbol": "6791", "name": "Taiwan Auto-Design Co.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 85.066, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -28.101, "architecture_energy": 24.042, "architecture_maturity": 28.181, "architecture_confidence": 68.738, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.9, "rotation_up": 25.46, "upward_expansion": 10.47, "deceleration": 52.34, "rotation_down": 44.23, "downward_expansion": 47.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 102.7, 103.5, 107.06988, 107.232647 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 101.0, "trend_reference": 106.710791, "distance_from_trend": -0.053517, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 100.063993, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.009354, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -35.212858, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.004326, "excess_performance": -0.437046, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.053517, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003422, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs 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"Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.048673, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.035271, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": -0.008299, "worst_return": -0.096234, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.161268, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.151243, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.128631, "worst_return": -0.172527, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.170124, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.204197, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.047411, "worst_return": -0.18193, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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105.466667, 107.509091, 109.946838, 108.426363 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 101.5, "volume": 330065, "typical_volume": 426649.6, "trend": 106.337059, "fair_value": 99.805862, "relative_strength": -32.972067, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.798684, "energy": 20.54877, "activity_lines": [ 104.5, 105.936364, 109.275904, 108.115261 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 105.0, "volume": 193135, "typical_volume": 426822.85, "trend": 106.533477, "fair_value": 99.881689, "relative_strength": -31.527383, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -11.255785, "energy": 10.724223, "activity_lines": [ 104.766667, 105.336364, 108.938478, 108.028999 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 102.0, "volume": 190353, "typical_volume": 430027.65, "trend": 106.613701, "fair_value": 99.949883, "relative_strength": -31.959393, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -17.225661, "energy": 14.924147, "activity_lines": [ 103.933333, 104.418182, 108.289591, 107.736517 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 104.5, "volume": 62049, "typical_volume": 424769.6, "trend": 106.696288, "fair_value": 100.00221, "relative_strength": -31.334264, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -12.095668, "energy": 18.023734, "activity_lines": [ 103.8, 104.190909, 107.865025, 107.600149 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 101.0, "volume": 122099, "typical_volume": 422763.55, "trend": 106.710791, "fair_value": 100.063993, "relative_strength": -35.212858, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.100665, "energy": 24.042149, "activity_lines": [ 102.7, 103.5, 107.06988, 107.232647 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }