{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8339f52c-f216-483e-a2ab-35fced132052", "symbol": "000936", "name": "Jiangsu Huaxicun Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.788, "architecture_energy": 65.837, "architecture_maturity": 53.558, "architecture_confidence": 95.272, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.19, "rotation_up": 26.64, "upward_expansion": 12.38, "deceleration": 48.41, "rotation_down": 57.45, "downward_expansion": 85.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.038, 5.150623, 5.812053, 6.32649 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 5.19, "trend_reference": 7.033056, "distance_from_trend": -0.262056, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.335179, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.292451, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -31.362051, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.417508, "excess_performance": -0.424908, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.262056, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.099481, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.292451, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.293639, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.313621, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.1328, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.417508, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.640888, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 58778745, "relative_activity": 0.595823, "balance": 0.640888, "dry_up": 0.671766, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.092971, "annualized_volatility": 0.428341, "from_high_reference": -0.440733, "from_low_reference": 0.108974 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.033056, "fair_value_reference": 7.335179, "structural_low": 4.68, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": -0.02741, "positive_rate": 0.318182, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": -0.000885, "regime_survival": 0.772727, "best_return": 0.205394, "worst_return": -0.175842, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.015837, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.027042, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.436399, "worst_return": -0.24805, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.134289, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.061302, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.044429, "worst_return": -0.302487, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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[ 5.143117, 5.513987, 6.275648, 6.756393 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.7, "volume": 70237635, "typical_volume": 102097247.25, "trend": 7.230056, "fair_value": 7.408032, "relative_strength": -36.713737, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.524082, "energy": 88.43675, "activity_lines": [ 4.959265, 5.286502, 6.076926, 6.586132 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.15, "volume": 62155342, "typical_volume": 99801304.75, "trend": 7.134389, "fair_value": 7.367933, "relative_strength": -28.97066, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.72338, "energy": 78.743161, "activity_lines": [ 4.988636, 5.198108, 5.936156, 6.451934 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.19, "volume": 58778745, "typical_volume": 98651384.45, "trend": 7.033056, "fair_value": 7.335179, "relative_strength": -31.362051, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.787672, "energy": 65.837498, "activity_lines": [ 5.038, 5.150623, 5.812053, 6.32649 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }