{ "ticker": { "uuid": "834de6ff-519c-4bf7-90c2-928b5dcd6ef1", "symbol": "TNE", "name": "Technologies New Energy plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.437, "architecture_energy": 72.568, "architecture_maturity": 32.916, "architecture_confidence": 88.726, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.66, "rotation_up": 24.04, "upward_expansion": 17.93, "deceleration": 39.84, "rotation_down": 51.24, "downward_expansion": 86.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.249333, 0.254909, 0.283, 0.298817 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.25, "trend_reference": 0.313667, "distance_from_trend": -0.202976, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.148141, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.687581, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.082375, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.242424, "excess_performance": -0.29366, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.202976, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032888, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.687581, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.761879, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.220824, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.328206, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.242424, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 50, "relative_activity": 0.009243, "balance": 5.0, "dry_up": 0.056013, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.094738, "annualized_volatility": 0.480896, "from_high_reference": -0.428179, "from_low_reference": 0.213592 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.313667, "fair_value_reference": 0.148141, "structural_low": 0.2236, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.0032, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.636364, "worst_return": -0.153846, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 1.695804, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 1.614495, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 3.545455, "worst_return": -0.153846, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 2.846154, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 2.686689, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 2.846154, "worst_return": 2.846154, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 3.615385, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 3.302445, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 3.615385, "worst_return": 3.615385, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-09-15", "end": "2023-12-29", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.153846, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Established", "return": 1.777778, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.2, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.1, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-03-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-03-27", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.121212, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-04-10", "end": "2026-05-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.135135, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-29", "end": "2026-07-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.25, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-07-10", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.041667, "active": true } 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"Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.564393, "energy": 79.666302, "activity_lines": [ 0.246, 0.265273, 0.295, 0.307355 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.25, "volume": 127, "typical_volume": 5407.0, "trend": 0.315333, "fair_value": 0.146987, "relative_strength": -22.077541, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.644804, "energy": 72.469053, "activity_lines": [ 0.248, 0.259455, 0.28881, 0.303032 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.25, "volume": 50, "typical_volume": 5409.5, "trend": 0.313667, "fair_value": 0.148141, "relative_strength": -22.082375, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.436531, "energy": 72.568401, "activity_lines": [ 0.249333, 0.254909, 0.283, 0.298817 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }