{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "83577412-b504-4473-822c-51368867b517",
    "symbol": "PAAS",
    "name": "Pan American Silver Corp.",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 81.637,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -51.012,
    "architecture_energy": 38.008,
    "architecture_maturity": 24.794,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.07,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 23.51,
        "rotation_up": 24.57,
        "upward_expansion": 7.38,
        "deceleration": 52.16,
        "rotation_down": 47.74,
        "downward_expansion": 76.04
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        64.258666,
        64.379272,
        67.930876,
        70.434304
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 71.449997,
    "trend_reference": 73.683355,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.03031,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 40.366431,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.770035,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -3.280514,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.047614,
    "excess_performance": -0.168035,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.03031,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007188,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.770035,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.450065,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032805,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.280504,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.047614,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.797418,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4599300,
      "relative_activity": 1.249104,
      "balance": 0.797418,
      "dry_up": 1.167696,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.093497,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.648794,
      "from_high_reference": -0.246598,
      "from_low_reference": 0.709933
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 73.683355,
      "fair_value_reference": 40.366431,
      "structural_low": 57.16,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": 0.053745,
        "positive_rate": 0.631579,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.368421,
        "median_excess_return": 0.035804,
        "regime_survival": 0.736842,
        "best_return": 0.276083,
        "worst_return": -0.250872,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.06922,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002955,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.605879,
        "worst_return": -0.152247,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.073258,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.028054,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
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        "worst_return": -0.191512,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.296539,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "end": "2024-04-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.107337,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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        "relative_strength": -12.626657,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 3906405.0,
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        "fair_value": 39.504781,
        "relative_strength": -17.404052,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -77.05946,
        "energy": 74.661609,
        "activity_lines": [
          62.785333,
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          69.837205,
          72.272581
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 62.09,
        "volume": 4972100,
        "typical_volume": 3808295.0,
        "trend": 74.113533,
        "fair_value": 39.775896,
        "relative_strength": -12.924265,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.529577,
        "energy": 63.895693,
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          62.029333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 60.360001,
        "volume": 4340400,
        "typical_volume": 3796475.0,
        "trend": 73.804083,
        "fair_value": 40.037494,
        "relative_strength": -15.291388,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.189013,
        "energy": 66.511267,
        "activity_lines": [
          61.158667,
          63.326727,
          67.835427,
          70.586181
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 71.449997,
        "volume": 4599300,
        "typical_volume": 3682080.0,
        "trend": 73.683355,
        "fair_value": 40.366431,
        "relative_strength": -3.280514,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -51.012009,
        "energy": 38.007903,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.258666,
          64.379272,
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          70.434304
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}