{ "ticker": { "uuid": "835aec2c-dafc-48eb-84f1-6d9ecefd5845", "symbol": "MFT", "name": "Matica Fintec S.p.A.", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 51.434, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 43.599, "architecture_energy": 25.254, "architecture_maturity": 18.006, "architecture_confidence": 64.38, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.31, "rotation_up": 45.35, "upward_expansion": 65.65, "deceleration": 50.94, "rotation_down": 20.02, "downward_expansion": 13.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.030667, 2.032545, 1.998048, 1.977376 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2.04, "trend_reference": 1.944667, "distance_from_trend": 0.049023, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.713462, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.190572, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -8.350839, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.111717, "excess_performance": -0.059175, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.049023, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034672, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.190572, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.122239, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.083508, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03895, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.111717, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.528662, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 27000, "relative_activity": 0.284765, "balance": 1.528662, "dry_up": 0.277646, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.052413, "annualized_volatility": 0.464178, "from_high_reference": -0.157025, "from_low_reference": 0.2 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.944667, "fair_value_reference": 1.713462, "structural_low": 1.745, "invalidation": "A 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"2026-06-26", "close": 2.02, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 105435.0, "trend": 1.909833, "fair_value": 1.708205, "relative_strength": -5.757721, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.330967, "energy": 31.304172, "activity_lines": [ 1.990667, 1.952909, 1.950167, 1.932667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 2.06, "volume": 2700, "typical_volume": 102735.0, "trend": 1.917167, "fair_value": 1.709263, "relative_strength": -6.583942, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.547649, "energy": 44.374367, "activity_lines": [ 2.025333, 1.971636, 1.962238, 1.942355 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 2.06, "volume": 13500, "typical_volume": 102240.0, "trend": 1.9245, "fair_value": 1.71, "relative_strength": -6.089559, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.74141, "energy": 50.282205, "activity_lines": [ 2.046667, 1.993273, 1.973429, 1.95157 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.06, "volume": 7200, "typical_volume": 100305.0, "trend": 1.9305, "fair_value": 1.710897, "relative_strength": -4.661611, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.864202, "energy": 51.289278, "activity_lines": [ 2.058667, 2.013091, 1.983714, 1.960312 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.04, "volume": 44100, "typical_volume": 101925.0, "trend": 1.9355, "fair_value": 1.711635, "relative_strength": -5.397249, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.553755, "energy": 48.599275, "activity_lines": [ 2.050667, 2.025091, 1.991095, 1.967376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.99, "volume": 27000, "typical_volume": 102150.0, "trend": 1.9395, "fair_value": 1.712308, "relative_strength": -8.216676, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.92356, "energy": 33.543292, "activity_lines": [ 2.031333, 2.025091, 1.992571, 1.970892 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.04, "volume": 27000, "typical_volume": 94815.0, "trend": 1.944667, "fair_value": 1.713462, "relative_strength": -8.350839, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.599387, "energy": 25.253538, "activity_lines": [ 2.030667, 2.032545, 1.998048, 1.977376 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }