{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8366966b-a874-4918-93e4-082b4d5018d9", "symbol": "601113", "name": "Yiwu Huading Nylon Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.95, "architecture_energy": 63.186, "architecture_maturity": 61.956, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.53, "rotation_up": 26.9, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 59.54, "rotation_down": 55.72, "downward_expansion": 85.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.347333, 3.390545, 3.70419, 3.923656 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3.41, "trend_reference": 4.197667, "distance_from_trend": -0.187644, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.817115, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.106655, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.263512, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.269807, "excess_performance": -0.226603, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.187644, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063439, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.106655, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.322404, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.182635, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.16618, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.269807, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.288645, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 49531275, "relative_activity": 0.879666, "balance": 0.288645, "dry_up": 0.930465, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.070607, "annualized_volatility": 0.289665, "from_high_reference": -0.324752, "from_low_reference": 0.08254 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.197667, "fair_value_reference": 3.817115, "structural_low": 3.15, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.003781, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.01134, "regime_survival": 0.681818, "best_return": 0.138889, "worst_return": -0.173469, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.023377, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.004777, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.20178, "worst_return": -0.119534, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.102672, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.071089, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.367953, "worst_return": -0.067935, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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{ "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.041344, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.0401, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.016241, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.007299, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 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"gate": "down", "direction": -74.3999, "energy": 89.997928, "activity_lines": [ 3.332667, 3.557273, 3.908524, 4.102086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.24, "volume": 56117970, "typical_volume": 62084047.75, "trend": 4.272, "fair_value": 3.8175, "relative_strength": -20.555208, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.387366, "energy": 88.037121, "activity_lines": [ 3.281333, 3.461455, 3.823, 4.032817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.41, "volume": 38891693, "typical_volume": 58337100.5, "trend": 4.24, "fair_value": 3.818141, "relative_strength": -16.378196, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.571715, "energy": 73.00656, "activity_lines": [ 3.315333, 3.417636, 3.760524, 3.977204 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.41, "volume": 49531275, "typical_volume": 56306903.3, "trend": 4.197667, "fair_value": 3.817115, "relative_strength": -18.263512, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.950042, "energy": 63.186482, "activity_lines": [ 3.347333, 3.390545, 3.70419, 3.923656 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }