{ "ticker": { "uuid": "836712b0-d893-4aa4-b6a9-2dc8fd02730f", "symbol": "CSTE", "name": "Caesarstone Ltd", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 63.945, "architecture_energy": 42.656, "architecture_maturity": 45.476, "architecture_confidence": 81.456, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.07, "rotation_up": 51.13, "upward_expansion": 79.04, "deceleration": 65.54, "rotation_down": 23.49, "downward_expansion": 5.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.205333, 2.165273, 1.988143, 1.836059 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2.3, "trend_reference": 1.75633, "distance_from_trend": 0.309549, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3.241156, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.290377, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 24.362257, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.012876, "excess_performance": -0.200329, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.309549, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.123684, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.290377, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.314919, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.243623, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.522269, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.012876, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.61491, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 565009, "relative_activity": 0.580673, "balance": 2.61491, "dry_up": 0.545736, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.153405, "annualized_volatility": 1.501874, "from_high_reference": -0.122137, "from_low_reference": 3.124821 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.75633, "fair_value_reference": 3.241156, "structural_low": 0.5576, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.128989, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.189346, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.14684, "worst_return": -0.37156, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.185047, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.292581, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.042751, "worst_return": -0.412844, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.098709, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.217104, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.041284, "worst_return": -0.156134, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.447955, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.49106, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.447955, "worst_return": -0.447955, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-01-26", "end": "2024-04-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.019324, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-04-12", "end": "2024-06-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.066914, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-06-21", "end": "2024-08-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.039216, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-08-30", "end": "2024-09-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.067347, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-10-04", "end": "2024-12-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.095556, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2025-01-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.078947, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.554726, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.461988, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-30", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.252294, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-02-27", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.548759, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-03-20", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.513761, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-04-24", "end": "2026-05-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.081395, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-06-05", "end": "2026-07-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.385965, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.004367, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 4.54, "volume": 208769, "typical_volume": 754003.7, "trend": 4.969333, "fair_value": 9.806314, "relative_strength": -38.283292, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -14.244614, "energy": 13.757852, "activity_lines": [ 4.966, 5.123818, 5.011905, 4.905462 ] }, { "date": "2023-08-25", "close": 4.11, "volume": 211690, "typical_volume": 743897.4, "trend": 4.905, "fair_value": 9.766032, "relative_strength": -43.834931, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -43.69561, "energy": 37.609239, "activity_lines": [ 4.626, 4.934364, 4.946286, 4.850022 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-01", "close": 4.22, "volume": 192593, "typical_volume": 721369.25, "trend": 4.829667, "fair_value": 9.727422, "relative_strength": -43.175501, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -41.470906, "energy": 47.479422, "activity_lines": [ 4.408667, 4.775636, 4.889714, 4.805828 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-08", "close": 4.3, "volume": 213997, "typical_volume": 706910.45, "trend": 4.771333, "fair_value": 9.692655, "relative_strength": -40.046743, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.439972, "energy": 57.624411, "activity_lines": [ 4.306, 4.651091, 4.838286, 4.771656 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-15", "close": 4.61, "volume": 326112, "typical_volume": 677207.9, "trend": 4.722667, "fair_value": 9.660963, "relative_strength": -34.011327, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.576904, "energy": 49.33137, "activity_lines": [ 4.378, 4.6, 4.813857, 4.761247 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-22", "close": 4.35, "volume": 187913, "typical_volume": 653205.75, "trend": 4.669667, "fair_value": 9.632689, "relative_strength": -34.229103, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.526843, "energy": 36.942541, "activity_lines": [ 4.376, 4.510545, 4.764429, 4.737204 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-29", "close": 4.28, "volume": 178794, "typical_volume": 614461.0, "trend": 4.645, "fair_value": 9.598035, "relative_strength": -33.758282, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.046613, "energy": 29.406734, "activity_lines": [ 4.363333, 4.429818, 4.710571, 4.712065 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-06", "close": 4.4, "volume": 204226, "typical_volume": 599818.15, "trend": 4.626333, "fair_value": 9.55368, "relative_strength": -31.465115, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.94228, "energy": 22.02879, "activity_lines": [ 4.379333, 4.391273, 4.669905, 4.696258 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-13", "close": 4.01, "volume": 143237, "typical_volume": 566146.2, "trend": 4.619333, "fair_value": 9.510215, "relative_strength": -35.906758, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -41.543115, "energy": 32.950641, "activity_lines": [ 4.253333, 4.302545, 4.594, 4.656495 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-20", "close": 3.87, "volume": 138696, "typical_volume": 547682.9, "trend": 4.608667, "fair_value": 9.470633, "relative_strength": -34.59437, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.664853, "energy": 55.033502, "activity_lines": [ 4.1, 4.213091, 4.508762, 4.608151 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-27", "close": 3.82, "volume": 286109, "typical_volume": 521169.75, "trend": 4.598333, "fair_value": 9.436722, "relative_strength": -31.959053, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.065075, "energy": 63.945606, "activity_lines": [ 3.979333, 4.131455, 4.422571, 4.557269 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-03", "close": 4.08, "volume": 126848, "typical_volume": 490183.45, "trend": 4.607333, "fair_value": 9.394553, "relative_strength": -30.070753, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.663537, "energy": 60.769228, "activity_lines": [ 3.980667, 4.110182, 4.365952, 4.523828 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-10", "close": 4.16, "volume": 292389, "typical_volume": 291046.95, "trend": 4.622667, "fair_value": 9.351081, "relative_strength": -29.524734, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.891164, "energy": 45.17116, "activity_lines": [ 4.022, 4.104, 4.319905, 4.494968 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-17", "close": 4.15, "volume": 104020, "typical_volume": 267446.0, "trend": 4.635333, "fair_value": 9.303964, "relative_strength": -30.004895, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.376436, "energy": 32.691267, "activity_lines": [ 4.076, 4.097091, 4.278333, 4.464473 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-24", "close": 3.99, "volume": 276257, "typical_volume": 263822.75, "trend": 4.616333, "fair_value": 9.255025, "relative_strength": -32.233863, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.968702, "energy": 26.697977, "activity_lines": [ 4.067333, 4.063818, 4.226714, 4.422839 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-01", "close": 4.2, "volume": 251998, "typical_volume": 242682.9, "trend": 4.595667, "fair_value": 9.210616, "relative_strength": -27.755745, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.464002, "energy": 21.298428, "activity_lines": [ 4.120667, 4.08, 4.200381, 4.395978 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-08", "close": 4.23, "volume": 128056, "typical_volume": 230253.7, "trend": 4.581667, "fair_value": 9.166216, "relative_strength": -26.620046, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.388209, "energy": 18.742098, "activity_lines": [ 4.158667, 4.104364, 4.183238, 4.372387 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-15", "close": 3.94, "volume": 440749, "typical_volume": 239535.0, "trend": 4.553, "fair_value": 9.12259, "relative_strength": -32.871341, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.659348, "energy": 23.995552, "activity_lines": [ 4.09, 4.076909, 4.144048, 4.330989 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-22", "close": 3.94, "volume": 158789, "typical_volume": 230572.0, "trend": 4.522667, "fair_value": 9.080739, "relative_strength": -32.40129, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.992029, "energy": 28.070042, "activity_lines": [ 4.036, 4.057818, 4.112476, 4.291441 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-29", "close": 3.74, "volume": 297018, "typical_volume": 218413.0, "trend": 4.491667, "fair_value": 9.025789, "relative_strength": -34.95348, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.000139, "energy": 39.000674, "activity_lines": [ 3.929333, 4.003636, 4.068667, 4.240946 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-05", "close": 4.19, "volume": 217643, "typical_volume": 218856.7, "trend": 4.470333, "fair_value": 8.973418, "relative_strength": -23.345699, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.998318, "energy": 29.684056, "activity_lines": [ 3.989333, 4.033636, 4.072762, 4.221484 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-12", "close": 4.13, "volume": 173785, "typical_volume": 216961.45, "trend": 4.451333, "fair_value": 8.920111, "relative_strength": -25.435449, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.304908, "energy": 24.564523, "activity_lines": [ 4.03, 4.046, 4.07281, 4.199527 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-19", "close": 4.09, "volume": 127187, "typical_volume": 213691.15, "trend": 4.411, "fair_value": 8.862078, "relative_strength": -26.965324, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.909838, "energy": 17.260707, "activity_lines": [ 4.064, 4.050182, 4.068952, 4.176215 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-26", "close": 4.14, "volume": 69270, "typical_volume": 206454.8, "trend": 4.374333, "fair_value": 8.81159, "relative_strength": -25.369845, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.606502, "energy": 15.16411, "activity_lines": [ 4.104667, 4.064727, 4.070476, 4.158731 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-02", "close": 3.9, "volume": 425920, "typical_volume": 211445.2, "trend": 4.334333, "fair_value": 8.756809, "relative_strength": -29.278741, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.860001, "energy": 16.859404, "activity_lines": [ 4.052, 4.035818, 4.049905, 4.128129 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-09", "close": 4.14, "volume": 87639, "typical_volume": 206431.5, "trend": 4.288, "fair_value": 8.699525, "relative_strength": -25.091386, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -27.181091, "energy": 12.148192, "activity_lines": [ 4.068667, 4.052182, 4.055571, 4.115591 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-16", "close": 3.81, "volume": 130374, "typical_volume": 204010.5, "trend": 4.235, "fair_value": 8.642942, "relative_strength": -28.785291, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.467468, "energy": 26.407083, "activity_lines": [ 3.978667, 4.009636, 4.03081, 4.084753 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-23", "close": 4.12, "volume": 99897, "typical_volume": 198794.05, "trend": 4.187667, "fair_value": 8.592142, "relative_strength": -22.763636, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.283069, "energy": 19.562253, "activity_lines": [ 4.013333, 4.031091, 4.03781, 4.077333 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-01", "close": 4.3, "volume": 565720, "typical_volume": 219918.2, "trend": 4.152, "fair_value": 8.539986, "relative_strength": -20.078317, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -3.335932, "energy": 3.550508, "activity_lines": [ 4.106, 4.082, 4.063286, 4.084581 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-08", "close": 4.35, "volume": 354713, "typical_volume": 230719.05, "trend": 4.137, "fair_value": 8.486865, "relative_strength": -16.956645, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 16.971648, "energy": 17.95544, "activity_lines": [ 4.204667, 4.135455, 4.092143, 4.097355 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-15", "close": 4.02, "volume": 215848, "typical_volume": 227206.0, "trend": 4.119667, "fair_value": 8.42624, "relative_strength": -21.768086, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 4.246302, "energy": 10.677066, "activity_lines": [ 4.163333, 4.117818, 4.087286, 4.089806 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-22", "close": 4.0, "volume": 230385, "typical_volume": 232382.85, "trend": 4.116, "fair_value": 8.367813, "relative_strength": -23.860419, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -1.490907, "energy": 6.16106, "activity_lines": [ 4.123333, 4.099636, 4.079571, 4.082086 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-29", "close": 4.09, "volume": 326839, "typical_volume": 234105.35, "trend": 4.111667, "fair_value": 8.308984, "relative_strength": -21.250068, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -6.374924, "energy": 3.305651, "activity_lines": [ 4.100667, 4.100182, 4.08081, 4.080409 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-05", "close": 4.22, "volume": 511456, "typical_volume": 254477.15, "trend": 4.109, "fair_value": 8.250866, "relative_strength": -17.75889, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 8.938852, "energy": 6.406239, "activity_lines": [ 4.123333, 4.124364, 4.094762, 4.087398 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-12", "close": 5.38, "volume": 1304664, "typical_volume": 305897.5, "trend": 4.134667, "fair_value": 8.19853, "relative_strength": 5.272539, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.685312, "energy": 63.763754, "activity_lines": [ 4.538, 4.358, 4.218857, 4.169398 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-19", "close": 5.69, "volume": 414497, "typical_volume": 314022.45, "trend": 4.179333, "fair_value": 8.149896, "relative_strength": 17.344787, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.570682, "energy": 82.260274, "activity_lines": [ 4.987333, 4.621091, 4.365857, 4.269742 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-26", "close": 6.19, "volume": 695510, "typical_volume": 342395.15, "trend": 4.243, "fair_value": 8.1041, "relative_strength": 22.787219, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.056925, "energy": 90.675126, "activity_lines": [ 5.492, 4.946909, 4.553381, 4.399462 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-03", "close": 6.39, "volume": 355892, "typical_volume": 338152.3, "trend": 4.309333, "fair_value": 8.040789, "relative_strength": 25.523508, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.93697, "energy": 93.946556, "activity_lines": [ 5.917333, 5.265818, 4.750619, 4.537978 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-10", "close": 6.17, "volume": 844322, "typical_volume": 372428.95, "trend": 4.381333, "fair_value": 7.982251, "relative_strength": 19.485155, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.757483, "energy": 87.49186, "activity_lines": [ 6.116, 5.503455, 4.915238, 4.658022 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-17", "close": 6.38, "volume": 413468, "typical_volume": 378251.45, "trend": 4.465, "fair_value": 7.926733, "relative_strength": 20.946165, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.260403, "energy": 86.924032, "activity_lines": [ 6.254667, 5.745273, 5.089238, 4.786968 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-24", "close": 5.84, "volume": 568114, "typical_volume": 395775.0, "trend": 4.532333, "fair_value": 7.861797, "relative_strength": 9.440209, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.479886, "energy": 58.557152, "activity_lines": [ 6.146667, 5.852, 5.199238, 4.875677 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-31", "close": 5.98, "volume": 258567, "typical_volume": 400014.1, "trend": 4.595667, "fair_value": 7.79869, "relative_strength": 13.86161, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.081248, "energy": 51.872159, "activity_lines": [ 6.075333, 5.951091, 5.314714, 4.969075 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-07", "close": 5.45, "volume": 246205, "typical_volume": 405965.0, "trend": 4.638667, "fair_value": 7.734977, "relative_strength": 1.3495, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.328301, "energy": 36.990417, "activity_lines": [ 5.841333, 5.917818, 5.370905, 5.024194 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-14", "close": 5.74, "volume": 270147, "typical_volume": 416008.85, "trend": 4.691667, "fair_value": 7.681251, "relative_strength": 3.277682, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.975313, "energy": 27.95359, "activity_lines": [ 5.766667, 5.912545, 5.448238, 5.095247 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-21", "close": 5.1, "volume": 265658, "typical_volume": 407995.75, "trend": 4.728667, "fair_value": 7.6246, "relative_strength": -7.80381, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.600293, "energy": 20.98006, "activity_lines": [ 5.507333, 5.763273, 5.457, 5.121591 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-28", "close": 5.0, "volume": 3508296, "typical_volume": 579028.6, "trend": 4.755333, "fair_value": 7.566999, "relative_strength": -8.971502, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.948563, "energy": 19.696276, "activity_lines": [ 5.3, 5.600909, 5.450524, 5.139097 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-05", "close": 4.68, "volume": 315703, "typical_volume": 588295.05, "trend": 4.770333, "fair_value": 7.509766, "relative_strength": -17.086998, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -2.624966, "energy": 15.310718, "activity_lines": [ 5.042, 5.392909, 5.409476, 5.134237 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-12", "close": 5.61, "volume": 545796, "typical_volume": 610590.0, "trend": 4.826, "fair_value": 7.462962, "relative_strength": 0.226288, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.722424, "energy": 18.649709, "activity_lines": [ 5.180667, 5.381455, 5.452857, 5.188409 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-19", "close": 5.37, "volume": 364300, "typical_volume": 600519.0, "trend": 4.873667, "fair_value": 7.415984, "relative_strength": 0.433411, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.79268, "energy": 13.060458, "activity_lines": [ 5.228667, 5.340545, 5.466286, 5.223505 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-26", "close": 6.12, "volume": 416004, "typical_volume": 603583.55, "trend": 4.953, "fair_value": 7.372883, "relative_strength": 17.761118, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.337017, "energy": 23.80127, "activity_lines": [ 5.551333, 5.450545, 5.546048, 5.303914 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-02", "close": 5.72, "volume": 669825, "typical_volume": 626282.4, "trend": 5.004, "fair_value": 7.325295, "relative_strength": 13.900733, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.439081, "energy": 29.139447, "activity_lines": [ 5.672667, 5.492545, 5.579286, 5.353398 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-09", "close": 4.72, "volume": 422735, "typical_volume": 635899.9, "trend": 5.023667, "fair_value": 7.268877, "relative_strength": -5.919077, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.056833, "energy": 10.472217, "activity_lines": [ 5.412667, 5.354909, 5.50919, 5.335075 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-16", "close": 4.37, "volume": 399157, "typical_volume": 639515.8, "trend": 5.033, "fair_value": 7.215985, "relative_strength": -16.898413, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": -7.537484, "energy": 18.287886, "activity_lines": [ 5.033333, 5.176545, 5.402333, 5.292903 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-23", "close": 4.9, "volume": 249314, "typical_volume": 626408.7, "trend": 5.058333, "fair_value": 7.165188, "relative_strength": -7.598308, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -15.130749, "energy": 34.267023, "activity_lines": [ 4.913333, 5.114182, 5.344619, 5.284323 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-30", "close": 4.9, "volume": 277697, "typical_volume": 575060.35, "trend": 5.091667, "fair_value": 7.114019, "relative_strength": -6.717959, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.898412, "energy": 36.866766, "activity_lines": [ 4.824667, 5.067091, 5.283667, 5.274108 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-06", "close": 4.48, "volume": 169980, "typical_volume": 562834.5, "trend": 5.103, "fair_value": 7.059474, "relative_strength": -9.212188, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -36.429226, "energy": 52.423546, "activity_lines": [ 4.677333, 4.947273, 5.185, 5.234645 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-13", "close": 4.8, "volume": 116319, "typical_volume": 533874.95, "trend": 5.136, "fair_value": 7.009091, "relative_strength": -7.790756, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.842711, "energy": 35.912794, "activity_lines": [ 4.719333, 4.895091, 5.122571, 5.215097 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-20", "close": 4.85, "volume": 288913, "typical_volume": 530526.0, "trend": 5.160333, "fair_value": 6.959276, "relative_strength": -7.850762, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.346303, "energy": 24.676558, "activity_lines": [ 4.772667, 4.849818, 5.071524, 5.196645 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-27", "close": 4.57, "volume": 135622, "typical_volume": 495091.0, "trend": 5.169333, "fair_value": 6.90959, "relative_strength": -13.658853, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.331704, "energy": 38.796552, "activity_lines": [ 4.700667, 4.767455, 5.001143, 5.158559 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-04", "close": 4.5, "volume": 81877, "typical_volume": 478511.45, "trend": 5.174333, "fair_value": 6.861564, "relative_strength": -14.64105, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.066577, "energy": 35.567165, "activity_lines": [ 4.627333, 4.686909, 4.931714, 5.115376 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-11", "close": 4.54, "volume": 111143, "typical_volume": 455662.9, "trend": 5.191667, "fair_value": 6.814105, "relative_strength": -14.655811, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.563086, "energy": 40.818564, "activity_lines": [ 4.594, 4.643091, 4.875048, 5.074452 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-18", "close": 4.46, "volume": 178010, "typical_volume": 451635.05, "trend": 5.207, "fair_value": 6.766506, "relative_strength": -16.053129, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.305014, "energy": 48.817194, "activity_lines": [ 4.53, 4.606182, 4.816952, 5.027247 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-25", "close": 4.37, "volume": 160822, "typical_volume": 447365.9, "trend": 5.216333, "fair_value": 6.717089, "relative_strength": -17.546535, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.452925, "energy": 52.400569, "activity_lines": [ 4.458667, 4.557636, 4.757524, 4.973247 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-01", "close": 4.05, "volume": 136005, "typical_volume": 440658.8, "trend": 5.210667, "fair_value": 6.660284, "relative_strength": -21.94578, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.925658, "energy": 64.066355, "activity_lines": [ 4.312667, 4.450909, 4.672762, 4.898 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-08", "close": 4.27, "volume": 384568, "typical_volume": 446604.3, "trend": 5.173667, "fair_value": 6.61004, "relative_strength": -21.589509, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.128898, "energy": 63.579707, "activity_lines": [ 4.274667, 4.399636, 4.617, 4.837312 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-15", "close": 4.08, "volume": 264956, "typical_volume": 284437.3, "trend": 5.12, "fair_value": 6.559295, "relative_strength": -22.058593, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.033077, "energy": 65.559646, "activity_lines": [ 4.188667, 4.325273, 4.547095, 4.766753 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-22", "close": 4.14, "volume": 114284, "typical_volume": 274366.35, "trend": 5.051667, "fair_value": 6.510749, "relative_strength": -22.0514, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.230756, "energy": 61.552799, "activity_lines": [ 4.153333, 4.269091, 4.487286, 4.703527 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-29", "close": 4.39, "volume": 103263, "typical_volume": 252239.7, "trend": 4.985, "fair_value": 6.468122, "relative_strength": -17.648179, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.033461, "energy": 42.231665, "activity_lines": [ 4.222667, 4.270364, 4.453857, 4.660839 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-06", "close": 4.99, "volume": 287276, "typical_volume": 248388.5, "trend": 4.945667, "fair_value": 6.430531, "relative_strength": -9.138245, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -20.667178, "energy": 14.664278, "activity_lines": [ 4.490667, 4.389091, 4.483381, 4.661161 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-13", "close": 4.93, "volume": 393171, "typical_volume": 247246.85, "trend": 4.897333, "fair_value": 6.396247, "relative_strength": -10.834822, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -10.90761, "energy": 16.267071, "activity_lines": [ 4.676, 4.489273, 4.509, 4.660151 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-20", "close": 4.56, "volume": 362260, "typical_volume": 231868.6, "trend": 4.854667, "fair_value": 6.355274, "relative_strength": -15.498487, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -11.018537, "energy": 19.416829, "activity_lines": [ 4.694, 4.514364, 4.505048, 4.638387 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-27", "close": 4.42, "volume": 117365, "typical_volume": 216600.1, "trend": 4.802667, "fair_value": 6.312652, "relative_strength": -18.72444, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -16.089848, "energy": 19.226054, "activity_lines": [ 4.633333, 4.513636, 4.493286, 4.610344 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-03", "close": 4.4, "volume": 209792, "typical_volume": 207131.85, "trend": 4.767667, "fair_value": 6.264959, "relative_strength": -18.147768, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -21.898642, "energy": 11.540077, "activity_lines": [ 4.547333, 4.51, 4.481048, 4.584366 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-10", "close": 4.01, "volume": 169623, "typical_volume": 203147.3, "trend": 4.71, "fair_value": 6.212076, "relative_strength": -23.409697, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.621217, "energy": 35.016845, "activity_lines": [ 4.330667, 4.434909, 4.431524, 4.535484 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-17", "close": 4.2, "volume": 120254, "typical_volume": 195275.15, "trend": 4.68, "fair_value": 6.161912, "relative_strength": -21.767399, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.615548, "energy": 43.044805, "activity_lines": [ 4.242667, 4.395091, 4.404333, 4.502581 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-24", "close": 4.02, "volume": 103020, "typical_volume": 191927.15, "trend": 4.647333, "fair_value": 6.112534, "relative_strength": -25.926145, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.541788, "energy": 55.513572, "activity_lines": [ 4.143333, 4.323818, 4.363333, 4.46 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-31", "close": 4.4, "volume": 190668, "typical_volume": 195644.6, "trend": 4.638, "fair_value": 6.063465, "relative_strength": -17.673471, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.52855, "energy": 45.734079, "activity_lines": [ 4.206667, 4.322727, 4.360714, 4.444043 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-07", "close": 4.35, "volume": 109502, "typical_volume": 186674.05, "trend": 4.596, "fair_value": 6.018392, "relative_strength": -18.521767, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.670508, "energy": 26.803841, "activity_lines": [ 4.254667, 4.307818, 4.355238, 4.425462 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-14", "close": 3.97, "volume": 119596, "typical_volume": 185872.75, "trend": 4.549333, "fair_value": 5.967568, "relative_strength": -27.535837, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.346713, "energy": 32.784574, "activity_lines": [ 4.179333, 4.224545, 4.315952, 4.385075 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-21", "close": 3.8, "volume": 146814, "typical_volume": 189119.6, "trend": 4.472, "fair_value": 5.916654, "relative_strength": -28.742535, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.717724, "energy": 37.037518, "activity_lines": [ 4.05, 4.128909, 4.263333, 4.336731 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-28", "close": 3.79, "volume": 228497, "typical_volume": 194987.3, "trend": 4.407667, "fair_value": 5.869056, "relative_strength": -26.11003, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.284076, "energy": 52.253586, "activity_lines": [ 3.944, 4.052, 4.213095, 4.292731 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-07", "close": 3.27, "volume": 275838, "typical_volume": 199878.7, "trend": 4.359333, "fair_value": 5.818374, "relative_strength": -33.705498, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.147665, "energy": 77.456188, "activity_lines": [ 3.68, 3.894545, 4.116905, 4.219333 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-14", "close": 3.01, "volume": 430581, "typical_volume": 213366.65, "trend": 4.314, "fair_value": 5.765525, "relative_strength": -37.0661, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.374059, "energy": 85.479787, "activity_lines": [ 3.404667, 3.710727, 4.001619, 4.13228 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-21", "close": 2.75, "volume": 513876, "typical_volume": 232260.2, "trend": 4.242333, "fair_value": 5.716516, "relative_strength": -42.277859, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.714653, "energy": 91.457343, "activity_lines": [ 3.132, 3.504909, 3.868048, 4.031376 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-28", "close": 2.43, "volume": 463067, "typical_volume": 236185.15, "trend": 4.16, "fair_value": 5.665831, "relative_strength": -47.359644, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -87.801666, "energy": 94.562754, "activity_lines": [ 2.834, 3.263818, 3.71019, 3.914452 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-04", "close": 2.56, "volume": 631211, "typical_volume": 254497.9, "trend": 4.096, "fair_value": 5.616041, "relative_strength": -38.039028, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.027389, "energy": 89.915143, "activity_lines": [ 2.670667, 3.078545, 3.573476, 3.811226 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-11", "close": 2.97, "volume": 739439, "typical_volume": 285755.65, "trend": 4.035, "fair_value": 5.570006, "relative_strength": -32.361503, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.070924, "energy": 80.826835, "activity_lines": [ 2.726, 2.994364, 3.483048, 3.738581 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-18", "close": 3.01, "volume": 514141, "typical_volume": 306299.55, "trend": 3.973667, "fair_value": 5.52573, "relative_strength": -28.865767, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.268355, "energy": 58.814468, "activity_lines": [ 2.814667, 2.943455, 3.402, 3.672452 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-25", "close": 2.83, "volume": 365343, "typical_volume": 310202.9, "trend": 3.915667, "fair_value": 5.482364, "relative_strength": -36.055599, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.349428, "energy": 51.429638, "activity_lines": [ 2.843333, 2.884182, 3.310381, 3.598667 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-02", "close": 2.57, "volume": 322326, "typical_volume": 306660.65, "trend": 3.851333, "fair_value": 5.444277, "relative_strength": -42.745638, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.751666, "energy": 52.932137, "activity_lines": [ 2.78, 2.798364, 3.204286, 3.511849 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-09", "close": 2.16, "volume": 480393, "typical_volume": 312567.3, "trend": 3.772, "fair_value": 5.401121, "relative_strength": -50.8041, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.179319, "energy": 62.896122, "activity_lines": [ 2.570667, 2.660364, 3.070381, 3.402731 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-16", "close": 2.07, "volume": 457865, "typical_volume": 329592.3, "trend": 3.692333, "fair_value": 5.36058, "relative_strength": -54.899056, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.272951, "energy": 83.08513, "activity_lines": [ 2.358, 2.535636, 2.939333, 3.292925 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-23", "close": 1.78, "volume": 559786, "typical_volume": 347092.0, "trend": 3.606, "fair_value": 5.31649, "relative_strength": -59.456114, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.207236, "energy": 91.635451, "activity_lines": [ 2.108667, 2.38, 2.791857, 3.169548 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-30", "close": 1.7, "volume": 1534575, "typical_volume": 415339.6, "trend": 3.527667, "fair_value": 5.268571, "relative_strength": -61.14136, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.009963, "energy": 91.598331, "activity_lines": [ 1.914667, 2.232182, 2.649238, 3.046581 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-06", "close": 1.84, "volume": 801601, "typical_volume": 449406.95, "trend": 3.446667, "fair_value": 5.221175, "relative_strength": -57.996837, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.311541, "energy": 87.155529, "activity_lines": [ 1.842667, 2.128909, 2.530952, 2.937699 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-13", "close": 1.74, "volume": 566007, "typical_volume": 472556.3, "trend": 3.368667, "fair_value": 5.174513, "relative_strength": -59.226604, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.725536, "energy": 82.883258, "activity_lines": [ 1.786, 2.018182, 2.414381, 2.827591 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-20", "close": 1.98, "volume": 448433, "typical_volume": 485444.55, "trend": 3.296667, "fair_value": 5.128327, "relative_strength": -52.815054, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.327048, "energy": 64.216094, "activity_lines": [ 1.837333, 1.966, 2.331524, 2.738 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-27", "close": 1.86, "volume": 2904586, "typical_volume": 625198.75, "trend": 3.212333, "fair_value": 5.082247, "relative_strength": -56.699913, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.385612, "energy": 58.16129, "activity_lines": [ 1.854667, 1.91, 2.248762, 2.645312 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-04", "close": 1.93, "volume": 185244, "typical_volume": 628481.15, "trend": 3.110333, "fair_value": 5.039432, "relative_strength": -55.063813, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.611346, "energy": 49.716972, "activity_lines": [ 1.89, 1.887636, 2.184524, 2.562581 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-11", "close": 1.75, "volume": 212645, "typical_volume": 631772.7, "trend": 3.004333, "fair_value": 4.992897, "relative_strength": -58.249136, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.150642, "energy": 51.452812, "activity_lines": [ 1.85, 1.848909, 2.112857, 2.474817 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-18", "close": 1.68, "volume": 414504, "typical_volume": 641073.05, "trend": 2.908333, "fair_value": 4.945351, "relative_strength": -59.562818, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.032413, "energy": 56.672269, "activity_lines": [ 1.792667, 1.812364, 2.044286, 2.389376 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-25", "close": 1.87, "volume": 225746, "typical_volume": 638568.45, "trend": 2.823333, "fair_value": 4.901149, "relative_strength": -54.207052, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.117764, "energy": 49.182024, "activity_lines": [ 1.802667, 1.819091, 2.003857, 2.322387 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-01", "close": 1.88, "volume": 540661, "typical_volume": 644072.45, "trend": 2.739333, "fair_value": 4.850443, "relative_strength": -51.710303, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.425541, "energy": 44.778982, "activity_lines": [ 1.823333, 1.831273, 1.971048, 2.261527 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-08", "close": 1.63, "volume": 196478, "typical_volume": 628202.55, "trend": 2.66, "fair_value": 4.795192, "relative_strength": -58.769363, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.604802, "energy": 49.316363, "activity_lines": [ 1.759333, 1.796182, 1.91981, 2.189957 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-15", "close": 1.52, "volume": 282298, "typical_volume": 619164.1, "trend": 2.570667, "fair_value": 4.73891, "relative_strength": -61.016554, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.229959, "energy": 51.205695, "activity_lines": [ 1.678667, 1.742364, 1.863429, 2.116409 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-22", "close": 1.51, "volume": 318921, "typical_volume": 603549.6, "trend": 2.487, "fair_value": 4.681923, "relative_strength": -60.041817, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.47335, "energy": 54.594436, "activity_lines": [ 1.61, 1.692545, 1.810429, 2.047978 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-29", "close": 1.42, "volume": 350649, "typical_volume": 584110.1, "trend": 2.387667, "fair_value": 4.627564, "relative_strength": -61.438205, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.701531, "energy": 70.50037, "activity_lines": [ 1.522667, 1.630545, 1.753857, 1.97914 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-05", "close": 1.41, "volume": 152792, "typical_volume": 566042.65, "trend": 2.289667, "fair_value": 4.571603, "relative_strength": -61.208629, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.36861, "energy": 70.656359, "activity_lines": [ 1.462, 1.576909, 1.703714, 1.916065 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-12", "close": 1.4, "volume": 193229, "typical_volume": 557436.95, "trend": 2.204, "fair_value": 4.518397, "relative_strength": -61.262565, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.243345, "energy": 72.30517, "activity_lines": [ 1.429333, 1.529636, 1.660238, 1.858667 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-19", "close": 1.6, "volume": 590651, "typical_volume": 570853.2, "trend": 2.130667, "fair_value": 4.471923, "relative_strength": -55.635687, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.078348, "energy": 52.627661, "activity_lines": [ 1.478667, 1.528364, 1.642619, 1.819699 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-26", "close": 1.47, "volume": 316318, "typical_volume": 562649.45, "trend": 2.053333, "fair_value": 4.421667, "relative_strength": -58.124279, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.000594, "energy": 47.514983, "activity_lines": [ 1.479333, 1.506182, 1.617238, 1.777075 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-03", "close": 1.59, "volume": 220503, "typical_volume": 550781.35, "trend": 1.997333, "fair_value": 4.372821, "relative_strength": -54.254462, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.159484, "energy": 33.264577, "activity_lines": [ 1.522667, 1.509636, 1.606571, 1.747183 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-10", "close": 1.47, "volume": 276773, "typical_volume": 536630.7, "trend": 1.946, "fair_value": 4.322949, "relative_strength": -55.727047, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.464993, "energy": 29.258341, "activity_lines": [ 1.514667, 1.496364, 1.586762, 1.713161 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-17", "close": 1.37, "volume": 238764, "typical_volume": 471840.15, "trend": 1.9, "fair_value": 4.272308, "relative_strength": -58.767472, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.708797, "energy": 39.27777, "activity_lines": [ 1.469333, 1.472364, 1.558905, 1.676 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-24", "close": 1.27, "volume": 729789, "typical_volume": 468249.55, "trend": 1.861333, "fair_value": 4.220833, "relative_strength": -61.680519, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.091419, "energy": 45.069934, "activity_lines": [ 1.392667, 1.434909, 1.523095, 1.635355 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-31", "close": 1.13, "volume": 927587, "typical_volume": 486328.55, "trend": 1.813667, "fair_value": 4.175064, "relative_strength": -65.749339, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.966892, "energy": 70.832821, "activity_lines": [ 1.291333, 1.376545, 1.476667, 1.588172 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-07", "close": 0.9914, "volume": 1271578, "typical_volume": 527485.8, "trend": 1.747713, "fair_value": 4.135778, "relative_strength": -68.21408, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.961219, "energy": 84.559878, "activity_lines": [ 1.166467, 1.299891, 1.419943, 1.535123 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-14", "close": 0.99, "volume": 1342414, "typical_volume": 449377.2, "trend": 1.68038, "fair_value": 4.099881, "relative_strength": -67.400014, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.741904, "energy": 85.948019, "activity_lines": [ 1.08104, 1.230775, 1.367793, 1.486238 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-21", "close": 0.859, "volume": 1067010, "typical_volume": 493465.5, "trend": 1.61468, "fair_value": 4.063656, "relative_strength": -70.030368, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.137309, "energy": 88.796659, "activity_lines": [ 0.983947, 1.145476, 1.30731, 1.433246 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-28", "close": 1.5, "volume": 5717267, "typical_volume": 768696.6, "trend": 1.579013, "fair_value": 4.033144, "relative_strength": -48.87028, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.27887, "energy": 44.885095, "activity_lines": [ 1.134587, 1.18656, 1.312975, 1.425847 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-05", "close": 1.82, "volume": 2390958, "typical_volume": 867519.3, "trend": 1.56768, "fair_value": 4.005836, "relative_strength": -36.884787, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -9.470173, "energy": 8.969183, "activity_lines": [ 1.37656, 1.287644, 1.350307, 1.441394 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-12", "close": 1.57, "volume": 1097296, "typical_volume": 911096.8, "trend": 1.551013, "fair_value": 3.979041, "relative_strength": -42.886029, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -14.785754, "energy": 20.458622, "activity_lines": [ 1.4892, 1.336909, 1.363162, 1.441544 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-19", "close": 1.79, "volume": 474232, "typical_volume": 907775.35, "trend": 1.551347, "fair_value": 3.953144, "relative_strength": -33.550988, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 29.806124, "energy": 37.147772, "activity_lines": [ 1.6366, 1.426538, 1.398398, 1.456963 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-26", "close": 1.71, "volume": 241297, "typical_volume": 910016.3, "trend": 1.55168, "fair_value": 3.927503, "relative_strength": -35.666921, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 23.668945, "energy": 36.569991, "activity_lines": [ 1.704, 1.495804, 1.426444, 1.467198 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-02", "close": 1.73, "volume": 534111, "typical_volume": 922606.95, "trend": 1.548013, "fair_value": 3.897118, "relative_strength": -32.020452, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 25.249812, "energy": 45.042267, "activity_lines": [ 1.721333, 1.562524, 1.456013, 1.478703 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-09", "close": 2.06, "volume": 483797, "typical_volume": 930850.75, "trend": 1.55868, "fair_value": 3.868721, "relative_strength": -19.053831, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 51.76037, "energy": 60.773907, "activity_lines": [ 1.833333, 1.68088, 1.516011, 1.511734 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-16", "close": 2.0, "volume": 383676, "typical_volume": 932502.1, "trend": 1.559347, "fair_value": 3.842759, "relative_strength": -18.858018, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 42.755988, "energy": 53.155364, "activity_lines": [ 1.909333, 1.771418, 1.567676, 1.540206 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-23", "close": 2.5, "volume": 587850, "typical_volume": 954255.0, "trend": 1.58068, "fair_value": 3.820067, "relative_strength": 2.993685, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.962115, "energy": 79.443496, "activity_lines": [ 2.123333, 1.934527, 1.664198, 1.600894 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-30", "close": 2.18, "volume": 515658, "typical_volume": 970376.45, "trend": 1.589013, "fair_value": 3.792503, "relative_strength": -7.810314, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.857169, "energy": 73.002076, "activity_lines": [ 2.183333, 2.012, 1.725053, 1.63956 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-06", "close": 2.33, "volume": 412263, "typical_volume": 961457.05, "trend": 1.608347, "fair_value": 3.768656, "relative_strength": 2.869177, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.139036, "energy": 73.515133, "activity_lines": [ 2.262, 2.092727, 1.79648, 1.687365 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-13", "close": 2.11, "volume": 439249, "typical_volume": 967603.6, "trend": 1.62268, "fair_value": 3.743272, "relative_strength": -3.699113, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.757001, "energy": 57.9674, "activity_lines": [ 2.227333, 2.118364, 1.843478, 1.71973 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-20", "close": 1.63, "volume": 554302, "typical_volume": 984293.55, "trend": 1.61468, "fair_value": 3.715644, "relative_strength": -24.623683, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.422089, "energy": 25.063085, "activity_lines": [ 2.029333, 2.051455, 1.841714, 1.720202 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-27", "close": 1.37, "volume": 451719, "typical_volume": 993040.85, "trend": 1.59768, "fair_value": 3.692246, "relative_strength": -34.634047, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.608679, "energy": 14.88781, "activity_lines": [ 1.769333, 1.936182, 1.814998, 1.704416 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-06", "close": 0.8017, "volume": 4277476, "typical_volume": 1194976.45, "trend": 1.57007, "fair_value": 3.66559, "relative_strength": -60.078946, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -41.015751, "energy": 39.682874, "activity_lines": [ 1.395233, 1.725218, 1.734634, 1.653063 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-13", "close": 0.6182, "volume": 41096076, "typical_volume": 3213290.8, "trend": 1.54001, "fair_value": 3.642502, "relative_strength": -67.934064, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -45.423903, "energy": 52.226628, "activity_lines": [ 1.051853, 1.497405, 1.6395, 1.591652 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-20", "close": 1.09, "volume": 10866909, "typical_volume": 3710256.9, "trend": 1.52601, "fair_value": 3.62263, "relative_strength": -40.974645, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.337675, "energy": 60.386723, "activity_lines": [ 0.97986, 1.375589, 1.592404, 1.562619 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-27", "close": 1.02, "volume": 3700185, "typical_volume": 3831687.25, "trend": 1.512677, "fair_value": 3.602694, "relative_strength": -41.726592, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.128411, "energy": 59.727609, "activity_lines": [ 0.952533, 1.258682, 1.538831, 1.529973 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-03", "close": 1.11, "volume": 1214487, "typical_volume": 3825290.9, "trend": 1.502677, "fair_value": 3.585387, "relative_strength": -37.392352, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.190707, "energy": 51.841144, "activity_lines": [ 0.995873, 1.175956, 1.493693, 1.503994 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-10", "close": 1.57, "volume": 2079459, "typical_volume": 3875913.35, "trend": 1.508343, "fair_value": 3.571733, "relative_strength": -13.02108, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.488692, "energy": 25.011533, "activity_lines": [ 1.20988, 1.20214, 1.491794, 1.508337 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-17", "close": 1.65, "volume": 1276466, "typical_volume": 3653873.3, "trend": 1.51001, "fair_value": 3.558143, "relative_strength": -11.451509, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 2.951682, "energy": 8.780271, "activity_lines": [ 1.399333, 1.25396, 1.494128, 1.517477 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-24", "close": 1.72, "volume": 491517, "typical_volume": 3558901.25, "trend": 1.518343, "fair_value": 3.539938, "relative_strength": -7.566024, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 15.455872, "energy": 20.351563, "activity_lines": [ 1.543333, 1.330871, 1.502414, 1.531024 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-01", "close": 1.28, "volume": 837327, "typical_volume": 3545902.8, "trend": 1.50801, "fair_value": 3.517246, "relative_strength": -30.652515, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 1.57712, "energy": 15.03148, "activity_lines": [ 1.498667, 1.334873, 1.469271, 1.515647 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-08", "close": 1.38, "volume": 628982, "typical_volume": 3553640.3, "trend": 1.50501, "fair_value": 3.496284, "relative_strength": -27.864671, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 3.264266, "energy": 10.779117, "activity_lines": [ 1.47, 1.36342, 1.447034, 1.507389 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-15", "close": 1.72, "volume": 1166254, "typical_volume": 3599888.15, "trend": 1.516677, "fair_value": 3.47654, "relative_strength": -8.784652, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 16.895997, "energy": 13.034713, "activity_lines": [ 1.536667, 1.453604, 1.45913, 1.521259 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-22", "close": 1.93, "volume": 967708, "typical_volume": 3621568.0, "trend": 1.538677, "fair_value": 3.457822, "relative_strength": 1.725996, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 35.190819, "energy": 22.806808, "activity_lines": [ 1.663333, 1.565273, 1.491178, 1.547925 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-29", "close": 1.86, "volume": 608368, "typical_volume": 3627796.55, "trend": 1.56301, "fair_value": 3.43981, "relative_strength": -4.186535, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 31.961689, "energy": 35.249491, "activity_lines": [ 1.748, 1.640364, 1.515607, 1.568655 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "close": 1.71, "volume": 629418, "typical_volume": 3640083.65, "trend": 1.586963, "fair_value": 3.41981, "relative_strength": -7.038826, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 17.521278, "energy": 40.064217, "activity_lines": [ 1.773333, 1.674182, 1.526702, 1.578139 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 1.82, "volume": 319838, "typical_volume": 3626683.05, "trend": 1.61463, "fair_value": 3.401348, "relative_strength": -2.724663, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 22.098664, "energy": 46.094768, "activity_lines": [ 1.806667, 1.715455, 1.549655, 1.593173 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 1.85, "volume": 368305, "typical_volume": 3619315.4, "trend": 1.647663, "fair_value": 3.379233, "relative_strength": -2.776688, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 24.048672, "energy": 40.421873, "activity_lines": [ 1.820667, 1.749273, 1.578703, 1.608358 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 2.09, "volume": 686075, "typical_volume": 3633006.0, "trend": 1.66733, "fair_value": 3.35904, "relative_strength": 15.396979, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 37.169071, "energy": 45.698667, "activity_lines": [ 1.906, 1.821636, 1.63218, 1.636896 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 2.21, "volume": 1534328, "typical_volume": 3687759.95, "trend": 1.68033, "fair_value": 3.340515, "relative_strength": 21.328602, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 47.027621, "energy": 53.484133, "activity_lines": [ 2.020667, 1.907818, 1.698228, 1.671907 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 2.37, "volume": 827707, "typical_volume": 3701430.2, "trend": 1.706997, "fair_value": 3.320258, "relative_strength": 27.703795, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.462417, "energy": 76.229443, "activity_lines": [ 2.165333, 2.014182, 1.779038, 1.716402 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.29, "volume": 788628, "typical_volume": 3718275.65, "trend": 1.723663, "fair_value": 3.300322, "relative_strength": 28.469633, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.057568, "energy": 76.251664, "activity_lines": [ 2.239333, 2.086182, 1.848705, 1.754015 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.09, "volume": 434559, "typical_volume": 3526129.8, "trend": 1.73633, "fair_value": 3.278207, "relative_strength": 19.383955, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.317928, "energy": 65.979808, "activity_lines": [ 2.215333, 2.105273, 1.894944, 1.77765 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.09, "volume": 335861, "typical_volume": 1488119.05, "trend": 1.74833, "fair_value": 3.257181, "relative_strength": 19.061635, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.064767, "energy": 52.411446, "activity_lines": [ 2.175333, 2.117636, 1.935048, 1.800467 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.3, "volume": 565009, "typical_volume": 973024.05, "trend": 1.75633, "fair_value": 3.241156, "relative_strength": 24.362257, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.944897, "energy": 42.65617, "activity_lines": [ 2.205333, 2.165273, 1.988143, 1.836059 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }