{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "836d9f7d-0689-4c76-babf-19ad72212bc7",
    "symbol": "SUJP",
    "name": "iShares MSCI Japan SRI UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "AMS",
    "country": "NL",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AEX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 94.411,
    "architecture_energy": 86.112,
    "architecture_maturity": 25.847,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.098,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.0,
        "rotation_up": 84.83,
        "upward_expansion": 95.13,
        "deceleration": 43.53,
        "rotation_down": 12.07,
        "downward_expansion": 17.13
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        7.9474,
        7.820691,
        7.597854,
        7.459012
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 8.233,
    "trend_reference": 7.330657,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.123092,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 6.696292,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.229486,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.110681,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.13772,
    "excess_performance": 0.021058,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.123092,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026187,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.229486,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.150493,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.021107,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.067034,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.13772,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 7.630641,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 190045,
      "relative_activity": 3.591236,
      "balance": 7.630641,
      "dry_up": 1.984383,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.022704,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.180697,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.23033
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 7.330657,
      "fair_value_reference": 6.696292,
      "structural_low": 6.6917,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": -0.006755,
        "positive_rate": 0.368421,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.368421,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00834,
        "regime_survival": 0.736842,
        "best_return": 0.048707,
        "worst_return": -0.104172,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.00553,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": -0.01085,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.076428,
        "worst_return": -0.030127,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.004314,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.037634,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.051085,
        "worst_return": -0.020035,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.072581,
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        "best_return": 0.04061,
        "worst_return": 0.030026,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "end": "2025-01-03",
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        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "New",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "return": -0.003988,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 6.9466,
        "volume": 67685,
        "typical_volume": 26695.95,
        "trend": 7.100897,
        "fair_value": 6.556665,
        "relative_strength": -6.222354,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -13.180482,
        "energy": 8.806356,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.018727,
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          7.103375
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 27245.7,
        "trend": 7.11155,
        "fair_value": 6.563524,
        "relative_strength": -4.592765,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -33.329433,
        "energy": 15.561912,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.03238,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 2588,
        "typical_volume": 27357.55,
        "trend": 7.12292,
        "fair_value": 6.570907,
        "relative_strength": -1.338853,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -13.445579,
        "energy": 6.588354,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.107227,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 6715,
        "typical_volume": 27184.65,
        "trend": 7.135723,
        "fair_value": 6.578933,
        "relative_strength": -3.967494,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 20.52369,
        "energy": 17.572604,
        "activity_lines": [
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          7.125029
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 26576.05,
        "trend": 7.143587,
        "fair_value": 6.58622,
        "relative_strength": -2.514334,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 23.77405,
        "energy": 36.035476,
        "activity_lines": [
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          7.127061,
          7.138853
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 7.38,
        "volume": 185732,
        "typical_volume": 35815.65,
        "trend": 7.15411,
        "fair_value": 6.593505,
        "relative_strength": -2.664213,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 28.660036,
        "energy": 52.657191,
        "activity_lines": [
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          7.154105
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 7.452,
        "volume": 300,
        "typical_volume": 35229.9,
        "trend": 7.162373,
        "fair_value": 6.601658,
        "relative_strength": -5.263264,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.574783,
        "energy": 73.40253,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 34078.15,
        "trend": 7.178037,
        "fair_value": 6.611987,
        "relative_strength": -3.639451,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.537971,
        "energy": 78.807452,
        "activity_lines": [
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          7.198719
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 7.49,
        "volume": 685,
        "typical_volume": 30131.25,
        "trend": 7.189613,
        "fair_value": 6.621367,
        "relative_strength": -2.858375,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.337365,
        "energy": 76.709296,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.476,
          7.382082,
          7.247165,
          7.218846
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 7.759,
        "volume": 128,
        "typical_volume": 27663.5,
        "trend": 7.210497,
        "fair_value": 6.632901,
        "relative_strength": -1.434126,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.622238,
        "energy": 89.3408,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.580467,
          7.469738,
          7.301159,
          7.255581
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 7.847,
        "volume": 131577,
        "typical_volume": 34163.75,
        "trend": 7.237257,
        "fair_value": 6.645362,
        "relative_strength": -0.494273,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.97008,
        "energy": 94.351893,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.687,
          7.5582,
          7.362047,
          7.296645
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 7.739,
        "volume": 88732,
        "typical_volume": 38420.95,
        "trend": 7.25754,
        "fair_value": 6.657076,
        "relative_strength": -2.562854,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.376733,
        "energy": 86.743379,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.7264,
          7.610655,
          7.410016,
          7.329016
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 7.779,
        "volume": 26013,
        "typical_volume": 39536.5,
        "trend": 7.280673,
        "fair_value": 6.668004,
        "relative_strength": -1.819462,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.920989,
        "energy": 88.042588,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.76,
          7.658436,
          7.460263,
          7.362658
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 7.846,
        "volume": 115257,
        "typical_volume": 44830.8,
        "trend": 7.30484,
        "fair_value": 6.680903,
        "relative_strength": -1.676695,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.755083,
        "energy": 83.383358,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.801067,
          7.7092,
          7.512828,
          7.399131
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 8.233,
        "volume": 190045,
        "typical_volume": 52919.1,
        "trend": 7.330657,
        "fair_value": 6.696292,
        "relative_strength": 2.110681,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 94.411171,
        "energy": 86.111958,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.9474,
          7.820691,
          7.597854,
          7.459012
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}