{ "ticker": { "uuid": "836e3799-e9c5-40f5-8de7-d9fef8fc87d0", "symbol": "7808", "name": "BIONET TX Corp", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.358, "architecture_energy": 87.239, "architecture_maturity": 36.97, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.65, "rotation_up": 21.38, "upward_expansion": 21.46, "deceleration": 37.24, "rotation_down": 67.88, "downward_expansion": 97.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.97, 31.257273, 34.356429, 37.127957 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 30.200001, "trend_reference": 41.321667, "distance_from_trend": -0.269149, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 48.187791, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.373285, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -57.030161, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.421456, "excess_performance": -0.862828, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.269149, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.162653, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.373285, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.150269, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.570302, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.089597, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.421456, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.064212, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 35835, "relative_activity": 0.293342, "balance": 0.064212, "dry_up": 0.339492, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063423, "annualized_volatility": 0.256593, "from_high_reference": -0.544495, "from_low_reference": 0.057793 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 41.321667, "fair_value_reference": 48.187791, "structural_low": 28.549999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.170423, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.092166, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.170423, "worst_return": -0.170423, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-07-03", "end": "2026-08-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.149296, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-12-13", "close": 50.099998, "volume": 1536224, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-12-20", "close": 44.450001, "volume": 712702, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": 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31.64, 33.760909, 36.856191, 39.677635 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 29.450001, "volume": 54538, "typical_volume": 132531.05, "trend": 42.975, "fair_value": 48.620833, "relative_strength": -57.067011, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.290618, "energy": 92.893517, "activity_lines": [ 30.563334, 32.698182, 35.917858, 38.746237 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 29.799999, "volume": 38740, "typical_volume": 123212.05, "trend": 42.108333, "fair_value": 48.399412, "relative_strength": -56.866604, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.359695, "energy": 89.821742, "activity_lines": [ 30.01, 31.867273, 35.086667, 37.896237 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 30.200001, "volume": 35835, "typical_volume": 122161.3, "trend": 41.321667, "fair_value": 48.187791, "relative_strength": -57.030161, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.358019, "energy": 87.238887, "activity_lines": [ 29.97, 31.257273, 34.356429, 37.127957 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }