{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8373735e-ccb3-492e-80d9-c0ef50c22721", "symbol": "BPL", "name": "BPL Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 92.086, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -5.551, "architecture_energy": 8.749, "architecture_maturity": 36.517, "architecture_confidence": 45.082, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 61.01, "rotation_up": 22.81, "upward_expansion": 22.16, "deceleration": 63.22, "rotation_down": 45.98, "downward_expansion": 33.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 54.074001, 54.648, 54.512953, 53.936129 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 53.560001, "trend_reference": 54.139667, "distance_from_trend": -0.010707, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 84.846923, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.368746, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.227863, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.096339, "excess_performance": -0.05263, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.010707, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.047776, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.368746, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.071006, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.122279, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015322, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.096339, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.277977, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 133412, "relative_activity": 0.403845, "balance": 1.277977, "dry_up": 0.638535, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.073261, "annualized_volatility": 0.382801, "from_high_reference": -0.413234, "from_low_reference": 0.424089 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 54.139667, "fair_value_reference": 84.846923, "structural_low": 37.610001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": -0.051848, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.363636, "median_excess_return": -0.064895, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.253798, "worst_return": -0.201149, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.053662, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.057271, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.429383, "worst_return": -0.396917, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.102973, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.118614, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.400162, "worst_return": -0.22976, 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"relative_strength": -10.302726, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 17.858443, "energy": 17.591671, "activity_lines": [ 55.500666, 55.070727, 54.436428, 54.08671 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 53.330002, "volume": 254473, "typical_volume": 343226.15, "trend": 54.389, "fair_value": 84.92891, "relative_strength": -12.596667, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 0.279364, "energy": 3.209389, "activity_lines": [ 54.64, 54.830182, 54.473714, 53.989613 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 53.560001, "volume": 133412, "typical_volume": 330354.15, "trend": 54.139667, "fair_value": 84.846923, "relative_strength": -12.227863, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -5.551156, "energy": 8.748833, "activity_lines": [ 54.074001, 54.648, 54.512953, 53.936129 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }