{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "837f19e4-1926-4bf4-949c-e788029c4cbf",
    "symbol": "XS7R",
    "name": "Xtrackers MSCI Europe Financials Screened UCITS ETF 1C",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 90.15,
    "architecture_energy": 94.262,
    "architecture_maturity": 41.142,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.342,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 1.21,
        "rotation_up": 84.94,
        "upward_expansion": 99.27,
        "deceleration": 39.35,
        "rotation_down": 12.03,
        "downward_expansion": 21.27
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        7220.715054
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 7997.5,
    "trend_reference": 7019.833333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.139272,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 5254.768655,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.521951,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 9.370148,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.163357,
    "excess_performance": 0.112122,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.139272,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04854,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.521951,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.130164,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.093701,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.076254,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.163357,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.259511,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3819,
      "relative_activity": 1.07402,
      "balance": 4.259511,
      "dry_up": 1.633388,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.022147,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.206874,
      "from_high_reference": -0.005585,
      "from_low_reference": 0.337657
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 7019.833333,
      "fair_value_reference": 5254.768655,
      "structural_low": 6010.768066,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 40,
        "median_return": 0.01827,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
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        "regime_survival": 0.825,
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        "worst_return": -0.158954,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.087991,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.035487,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.082591,
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        "date": "2026-04-10",
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "trend": 6668.466667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "relative_strength": 3.498134,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 1.899512,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "fair_value": 5041.855193,
        "relative_strength": 3.189674,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": 6.317034,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 265,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 7591.0,
        "volume": 5738,
        "typical_volume": 3095.35,
        "trend": 6917.516667,
        "fair_value": 5172.717373,
        "relative_strength": 7.337332,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.288542,
        "energy": 89.575282,
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          7182.530952,
          7045.877419
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 7709.5,
        "volume": 5863,
        "typical_volume": 3234.95,
        "trend": 6947.383333,
        "fair_value": 5198.842373,
        "relative_strength": 7.466383,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.452889,
        "energy": 92.439982,
        "activity_lines": [
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          7253.714286,
          7096.973118
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 7848.5,
        "volume": 7812,
        "typical_volume": 3448.05,
        "trend": 6980.616667,
        "fair_value": 5226.291091,
        "relative_strength": 7.842625,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.046622,
        "energy": 91.975623,
        "activity_lines": [
          7709.733333,
          7578.590909,
          7332.295238,
          7155.109677
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 7997.5,
        "volume": 3819,
        "typical_volume": 3555.8,
        "trend": 7019.833333,
        "fair_value": 5254.768655,
        "relative_strength": 9.370148,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 90.150343,
        "energy": 94.262004,
        "activity_lines": [
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          7220.715054
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}