{ "ticker": { "uuid": "837ff7ed-1fa5-4b08-9a88-ac3d92cc746f", "symbol": "EVOE", "name": "BNP Paribas Easy Low Vol EuropeUCITS ETF Cap", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 84.348, "architecture_energy": 84.683, "architecture_maturity": 34.902, "architecture_confidence": 83.251, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 1.73, "rotation_up": 76.18, "upward_expansion": 96.66, "deceleration": 41.7, "rotation_down": 17.54, "downward_expansion": 18.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 225.296667, 223.839093, 219.908812, 217.413981 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 227.800003, "trend_reference": 214.646668, "distance_from_trend": 0.061279, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 186.755653, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.219776, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.593766, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.075035, "excess_performance": 0.021724, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.061279, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035212, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.219776, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.058201, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.025938, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.005214, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.075035, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.479867, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 723, "relative_activity": 1.010765, "balance": 1.479867, "dry_up": 0.865022, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.015212, "annualized_volatility": 0.142562, "from_high_reference": -0.003063, "from_low_reference": 0.200464 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 214.646668, "fair_value_reference": 186.755653, "structural_low": 196.660004, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 38, "median_return": 0.003419, "positive_rate": 0.526316, "directional_follow_through": 0.526316, "median_excess_return": 0.007683, "regime_survival": 0.736842, "best_return": 0.081445, "worst_return": -0.083124, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.025107, "positive_rate": 0.692308, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": 0.008646, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.068545, "worst_return": -0.042545, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.043906, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": 0.049393, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.087735, "worst_return": -0.114933, "sufficient": true }, { 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78.032579, "energy": 75.859225, "activity_lines": [ 218.223339, 215.860913, 213.713336, 212.486368 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 225.550003, "volume": 225, "typical_volume": 1204.4, "trend": 210.896334, "fair_value": 184.637127, "relative_strength": 4.638262, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.643885, "energy": 87.763423, "activity_lines": [ 221.096671, 217.891822, 214.910956, 213.488906 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 222.75, "volume": 638, "typical_volume": 1148.85, "trend": 211.720001, "fair_value": 185.056935, "relative_strength": 5.286244, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.063799, "energy": 84.701393, "activity_lines": [ 222.253337, 219.190912, 215.792622, 214.253658 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 224.0, "volume": 693, "typical_volume": 1114.75, "trend": 212.453335, "fair_value": 185.471679, "relative_strength": 5.72897, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.45489, "energy": 87.574234, "activity_lines": [ 223.230002, 220.52273, 216.775241, 215.045916 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 224.300003, "volume": 294, "typical_volume": 880.45, "trend": 213.213335, "fair_value": 185.874756, "relative_strength": 5.297225, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.388506, "energy": 86.306487, "activity_lines": [ 223.863335, 221.673639, 217.779527, 215.810217 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 224.199997, "volume": 765, "typical_volume": 833.15, "trend": 213.928335, "fair_value": 186.303986, "relative_strength": 3.480311, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.636411, "energy": 79.293867, "activity_lines": [ 224.083333, 222.520002, 218.70905, 216.519034 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 227.800003, "volume": 723, "typical_volume": 715.3, "trend": 214.646668, "fair_value": 186.755653, "relative_strength": 2.593766, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.347668, "energy": 84.683399, "activity_lines": [ 225.296667, 223.839093, 219.908812, 217.413981 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }