{ "ticker": { "uuid": "839320d3-2673-4326-bb85-7fb1240025b9", "symbol": "PROS", "name": "Prosper Engineering Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.832, "architecture_energy": 50.607, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 78.805, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.19, "rotation_up": 29.25, "upward_expansion": 13.03, "deceleration": 59.64, "rotation_down": 45.15, "downward_expansion": 75.03 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.172, 0.173636, 0.189286, 0.220108 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.16, "trend_reference": 0.270333, "distance_from_trend": -0.408138, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.812949, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.803186, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -63.100339, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.589744, "excess_performance": -0.782069, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.408138, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.217936, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.803186, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034905, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.631003, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002006, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.589744, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.353377, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1308100, "relative_activity": 0.685619, "balance": 1.353377, "dry_up": 0.517779, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.192308, "annualized_volatility": 0.848078, "from_high_reference": -0.774648, "from_low_reference": 0.142857 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.270333, "fair_value_reference": 0.812949, "structural_low": 0.14, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.481481, "median_excess_return": -0.034515, "regime_survival": 0.814815, "best_return": 1.202703, "worst_return": -0.466667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.133812, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.081921, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.864865, "worst_return": -0.467742, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.225806, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.174815, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.172131, "worst_return": -0.347594, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-07-12", "end": "2024-08-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.017391, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-23", "end": "2024-09-13", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.09322, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-09-20", "end": "2024-10-04", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.055118, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-10-11", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.104, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2024-12-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.088496, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.020202, 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-62.803483, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.309095, "energy": 57.065524, "activity_lines": [ 0.172667, 0.178364, 0.204238, 0.241828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.18, "volume": 715000, "typical_volume": 2008440.0, "trend": 0.285667, "fair_value": 0.832244, "relative_strength": -61.748884, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.528935, "energy": 52.146092, "activity_lines": [ 0.174667, 0.178182, 0.199333, 0.234495 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.18, "volume": 501300, "typical_volume": 1890575.0, "trend": 0.277333, "fair_value": 0.822308, "relative_strength": -60.073098, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.731032, "energy": 47.809169, "activity_lines": [ 0.176667, 0.177636, 0.195, 0.227677 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.16, "volume": 1308100, "typical_volume": 1907910.0, "trend": 0.270333, "fair_value": 0.812949, "relative_strength": -63.100339, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.831543, "energy": 50.607162, "activity_lines": [ 0.172, 0.173636, 0.189286, 0.220108 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }