{ "ticker": { "uuid": "83b02510-e6d4-4da0-9d55-91542cf5f743", "symbol": "RST", "name": "Restore plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 86.483, "architecture_energy": 90.234, "architecture_maturity": 18.274, "architecture_confidence": 76.476, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.95, "rotation_up": 86.18, "upward_expansion": 98.55, "deceleration": 39.01, "rotation_down": 8.5, "downward_expansion": 20.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 290.433333, 280.214207, 271.50434, 265.589072 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 301.5, "trend_reference": 261.394297, "distance_from_trend": 0.15343, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 242.196362, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.244858, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.174975, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.177953, "excess_performance": 0.126718, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.15343, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024262, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.244858, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.132317, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.07175, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.092304, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.177953, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.945927, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2157242, "relative_activity": 1.378556, "balance": 1.945927, "dry_up": 1.14219, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.042364, "annualized_volatility": 0.303095, "from_high_reference": -0.027419, "from_low_reference": 0.358361 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 261.394297, "fair_value_reference": 242.196362, "structural_low": 221.958748, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.01833, "positive_rate": 0.294118, "directional_follow_through": 0.294118, "median_excess_return": -0.042188, "regime_survival": 0.588235, "best_return": 0.174419, "worst_return": -0.123149, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.001223, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.027734, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.15122, "worst_return": -0.153226, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.055404, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.040175, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.216059, "worst_return": -0.170031, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"2026-07-10", "close": 271.0, "volume": 1105792, "typical_volume": 1585993.6, "trend": 258.820972, "fair_value": 240.634268, "relative_strength": -0.870829, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 31.482178, "energy": 41.542195, "activity_lines": [ 266.8, 263.334775, 259.996088, 258.205878 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 271.5, "volume": 1074153, "typical_volume": 1582169.0, "trend": 258.922635, "fair_value": 240.789518, "relative_strength": -1.259638, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.146013, "energy": 58.915332, "activity_lines": [ 269.633333, 264.878715, 261.5455, 259.02388 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 281.0, "volume": 1345663, "typical_volume": 1529140.35, "trend": 259.424282, "fair_value": 240.925312, "relative_strength": 1.175943, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.378933, "energy": 72.645701, "activity_lines": [ 274.133333, 268.103564, 263.911355, 260.448226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 298.0, "volume": 2572390, "typical_volume": 1557568.2, "trend": 260.392615, "fair_value": 241.336629, "relative_strength": 6.136275, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 89.052548, "energy": 85.784499, "activity_lines": [ 282.833333, 274.172964, 267.653196, 262.936982 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 301.5, "volume": 2157242, "typical_volume": 1564855.75, "trend": 261.394297, "fair_value": 242.196362, "relative_strength": 7.174975, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.482779, "energy": 90.234127, "activity_lines": [ 290.433333, 280.214207, 271.50434, 265.589072 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }