{ "ticker": { "uuid": "83cac093-8b1c-4d77-a752-00e889f2b659", "symbol": "3042", "name": "TXC Corporation", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 20.496, "architecture_energy": 13.854, "architecture_maturity": 65.072, "architecture_confidence": 95.603, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.18, "rotation_up": 23.82, "upward_expansion": 47.35, "deceleration": 84.33, "rotation_down": 29.08, "downward_expansion": 25.35 }, "activity_lines": [ 176.0, 179.936364, 184.2845, 169.92641 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 190.0, "trend_reference": 147.516756, "distance_from_trend": 0.287989, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 102.474906, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.854112, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 22.983471, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.200008, "excess_performance": 0.854276, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.287989, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.317639, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.854112, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00429, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.229835, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014693, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.200008, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.728167, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 144621295, "relative_activity": 1.494071, "balance": 1.728167, "dry_up": 0.935634, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.203911, "annualized_volatility": 0.878384, "from_high_reference": -0.236948, "from_low_reference": 1.453426 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 147.516756, "fair_value_reference": 102.474906, "structural_low": 84.696843, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.013453, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.018548, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.151515, "worst_return": -0.065421, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.023517, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.117551, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.010788, "worst_return": -0.105094, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.129195, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.091488, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.140082, "worst_return": -0.153349, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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137.608381, "fair_value": 100.576164, "relative_strength": 2.257879, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.496263, "energy": 22.477225, "activity_lines": [ 170.8, 187.965772, 180.894626, 162.421466 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 168.0, "volume": 82535860, "typical_volume": 87046843.2, "trend": 140.587746, "fair_value": 101.137838, "relative_strength": 11.941862, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.404183, "energy": 24.168827, "activity_lines": [ 164.666667, 182.508546, 181.318017, 164.382216 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 180.5, "volume": 67163796, "typical_volume": 90160160.5, "trend": 143.977242, "fair_value": 101.774494, "relative_strength": 15.786735, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.198426, "energy": 16.536552, "activity_lines": [ 168.1, 180.110446, 182.566011, 166.9572 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 190.0, "volume": 144621295, "typical_volume": 96796805.45, "trend": 147.516756, "fair_value": 102.474906, "relative_strength": 22.983471, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.495555, "energy": 13.854148, "activity_lines": [ 176.0, 179.936364, 184.2845, 169.92641 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }