{ "ticker": { "uuid": "83e3c512-34ce-46e4-8cee-f6050706cd95", "symbol": "600983", "name": "Whirlpool China Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.078, "architecture_energy": 46.927, "architecture_maturity": 95.212, "architecture_confidence": 94.762, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.66, "rotation_up": 27.93, "upward_expansion": 21.96, "deceleration": 46.92, "rotation_down": 37.74, "downward_expansion": 69.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.634, 7.53195, 7.860914, 8.526567 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 7.72, "trend_reference": 9.387672, "distance_from_trend": -0.177645, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.852919, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.127971, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.936298, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.310098, "excess_performance": -0.266894, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.177645, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.079679, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.127971, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.113863, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.209363, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037678, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.310098, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.348014, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14813103, "relative_activity": 0.788397, "balance": 0.348014, "dry_up": 0.796878, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.061329, "annualized_volatility": 0.424207, "from_high_reference": -0.397816, "from_low_reference": 0.135294 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.387672, "fair_value_reference": 8.852919, "structural_low": 6.8, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -5.9e-05, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.012014, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 0.170502, "worst_return": -0.104366, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.009247, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.020902, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.172753, "worst_return": -0.098837, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.110964, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.045107, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.207921, "worst_return": -0.213082, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 18841647.7, "trend": 9.504339, "fair_value": 8.843707, "relative_strength": -23.579045, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.048622, "energy": 80.241722, "activity_lines": [ 7.298, 7.438511, 8.007201, 8.735815 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.99, "volume": 17828615, "typical_volume": 18917063.35, "trend": 9.449005, "fair_value": 8.849179, "relative_strength": -16.603293, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.006932, "energy": 55.972215, "activity_lines": [ 7.546667, 7.507967, 7.938248, 8.638115 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.72, "volume": 14813103, "typical_volume": 18788886.0, "trend": 9.387672, "fair_value": 8.852919, "relative_strength": -20.936298, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.07767, "energy": 46.926747, "activity_lines": [ 7.634, 7.53195, 7.860914, 8.526567 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }