{ "ticker": { "uuid": "83e9e834-5400-4c82-a352-3f098233a7cf", "symbol": "IZEA", "name": "IZEA Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -56.288, "architecture_energy": 47.918, "architecture_maturity": 18.96, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.76, "rotation_up": 16.81, "upward_expansion": 8.97, "deceleration": 41.86, "rotation_down": 56.68, "downward_expansion": 82.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.470667, 3.517091, 3.65619, 3.695828 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3.5, "trend_reference": 3.731333, "distance_from_trend": -0.061997, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.982803, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.173393, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.517093, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.008499, "excess_performance": -0.195952, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.061997, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.102541, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.173393, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.326048, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.255171, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.176759, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.008499, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.367948, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 153524, "relative_activity": 0.63103, "balance": 0.367948, "dry_up": 0.754688, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085818, "annualized_volatility": 0.366805, "from_high_reference": -0.402628, "from_low_reference": 0.054217 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.731333, "fair_value_reference": 2.982803, "structural_low": 3.32, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 35, "median_return": -0.01383, "positive_rate": 0.457143, "directional_follow_through": 0.542857, "median_excess_return": -0.024007, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.343023, "worst_return": -0.239437, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.040997, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": -0.143399, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.245536, "worst_return": -0.369792, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.013387, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.126745, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.638393, "worst_return": -0.517928, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.09375, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.117785, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.035533, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.296296, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.101786, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": 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"modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.146579, "energy": 37.34134, "activity_lines": [ 3.604, 3.653636, 3.779, 3.788473 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.47, "volume": 175206, "typical_volume": 276050.25, "trend": 3.834333, "fair_value": 2.961008, "relative_strength": -24.428987, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.672509, "energy": 43.474187, "activity_lines": [ 3.558, 3.604364, 3.747714, 3.762495 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.4, "volume": 181059, "typical_volume": 268610.6, "trend": 3.798, "fair_value": 2.967097, "relative_strength": -24.308502, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.43572, "energy": 47.947776, "activity_lines": [ 3.498667, 3.558364, 3.710476, 3.734473 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.46, "volume": 224647, "typical_volume": 269484.6, "trend": 3.761, "fair_value": 2.974469, "relative_strength": -23.011759, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.730902, "energy": 49.474209, "activity_lines": [ 3.473333, 3.531091, 3.681238, 3.712667 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.5, "volume": 153524, "typical_volume": 243291.25, "trend": 3.731333, "fair_value": 2.982803, "relative_strength": -25.517093, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.287943, "energy": 47.918126, "activity_lines": [ 3.470667, 3.517091, 3.65619, 3.695828 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }