{ "ticker": { "uuid": "83f380bc-22f2-48db-8203-519f40870e0b", "symbol": "ALPCOT-B", "name": "Alpcot Holding AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 71.261, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 39.88, "architecture_energy": 23.945, "architecture_maturity": 30.005, "architecture_confidence": 63.545, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.34, "rotation_up": 43.81, "upward_expansion": 67.28, "deceleration": 53.23, "rotation_down": 18.66, "downward_expansion": 8.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.251333, 1.244636, 1.24481, 1.216796 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 1.26, "trend_reference": 1.172833, "distance_from_trend": 0.074321, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.00091, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.258854, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.169579, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.211538, "excess_performance": 0.150044, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.074321, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030458, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.258854, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.022933, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.051696, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.039872, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.211538, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.057115, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 58724, "relative_activity": 0.48442, "balance": 1.057115, "dry_up": 0.278667, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.070818, "annualized_volatility": 0.443079, "from_high_reference": -0.1, "from_low_reference": 0.44 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.172833, "fair_value_reference": 1.00091, "structural_low": 0.875, "invalidation": "A sustained loss 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"energy": 15.689728, "activity_lines": [ 1.230667, 1.239636, 1.223214, 1.18672 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 1.23, "volume": 41465, "typical_volume": 166180.75, "trend": 1.150667, "fair_value": 1.002353, "relative_strength": -4.522542, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.868549, "energy": 16.826432, "activity_lines": [ 1.229667, 1.236727, 1.227405, 1.192376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.275, "volume": 37964, "typical_volume": 124832.05, "trend": 1.1575, "fair_value": 1.002481, "relative_strength": 0.14226, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.349666, "energy": 25.094205, "activity_lines": [ 1.245667, 1.243091, 1.23469, 1.200398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.23, "volume": 33142, "typical_volume": 124846.75, "trend": 1.1625, "fair_value": 1.002353, "relative_strength": -4.777719, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.745543, "energy": 23.663119, "activity_lines": [ 1.241, 1.240818, 1.23719, 1.205075 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.25, "volume": 5296, "typical_volume": 121267.1, "trend": 1.165833, "fair_value": 1.002449, "relative_strength": -4.361078, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.719524, "energy": 24.498477, "activity_lines": [ 1.246, 1.241364, 1.241024, 1.21072 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.26, "volume": 58724, "typical_volume": 121225.35, "trend": 1.172833, "fair_value": 1.00091, "relative_strength": -5.169579, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.879992, "energy": 23.945023, "activity_lines": [ 1.251333, 1.244636, 1.24481, 1.216796 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }