{ "ticker": { "uuid": "83fc694c-d87c-45e5-9afc-f8f9a09175eb", "symbol": "8436", "name": "TCI Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 53.792, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -34.653, "architecture_energy": 18.528, "architecture_maturity": 49.576, "architecture_confidence": 83.815, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.5, "rotation_up": 26.76, "upward_expansion": 15.54, "deceleration": 43.34, "rotation_down": 33.73, "downward_expansion": 63.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 117.066667, 116.381818, 117.604762, 119.71828 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 120.0, "trend_reference": 124.316667, "distance_from_trend": -0.034723, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 129.122593, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.070651, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -29.754607, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.151943, "excess_performance": -0.593315, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.034723, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004173, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.070651, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035479, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.297546, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.049309, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.151943, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.962558, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7492596, "relative_activity": 2.572957, "balance": 1.962558, "dry_up": 1.27767, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.05609, "annualized_volatility": 0.177573, "from_high_reference": -0.259259, "from_low_reference": 0.137441 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 124.316667, "fair_value_reference": 129.122593, 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122.016667, 123.970968 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 114.5, "volume": 1878745, "typical_volume": 2659660.35, "trend": 123.9, "fair_value": 130.708605, "relative_strength": -36.97805, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.701062, "energy": 47.423359, "activity_lines": [ 118.033333, 118.954545, 120.957143, 123.366667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 115.0, "volume": 3867938, "typical_volume": 2609596.35, "trend": 123.85, "fair_value": 130.486425, "relative_strength": -38.94685, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.360451, "energy": 59.334059, "activity_lines": [ 116.7, 118.163636, 120.121429, 122.792473 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 115.0, "volume": 3207385, "typical_volume": 2653372.4, "trend": 123.8, "fair_value": 130.247751, "relative_strength": -36.236169, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.975038, "energy": 62.157439, "activity_lines": [ 115.666667, 117.454545, 119.411905, 122.221505 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 115.0, "volume": 3381862, "typical_volume": 2668128.75, "trend": 124.033333, "fair_value": 130.031068, "relative_strength": -31.3922, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.108638, "energy": 60.949593, "activity_lines": [ 115.133333, 116.809091, 118.809524, 121.653763 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 117.0, "volume": 2701253, "typical_volume": 2664074.65, "trend": 124.216667, "fair_value": 129.805214, "relative_strength": -30.903467, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.756427, "energy": 41.793513, "activity_lines": [ 115.633333, 116.654545, 118.47381, 121.2 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 113.0, "volume": 2012183, "typical_volume": 2619193.1, "trend": 124.316667, "fair_value": 129.556469, "relative_strength": -31.538071, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.323423, "energy": 42.361576, "activity_lines": [ 114.866667, 115.790909, 117.797619, 120.476344 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 117.0, "volume": 2676559, "typical_volume": 2631118.2, "trend": 124.433333, "fair_value": 129.321424, "relative_strength": -29.927212, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.869253, "energy": 32.113075, "activity_lines": [ 115.533333, 115.790909, 117.545238, 120.004301 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 120.0, "volume": 7492596, "typical_volume": 2912056.15, "trend": 124.316667, "fair_value": 129.122593, "relative_strength": -29.754607, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.653057, "energy": 18.52815, "activity_lines": [ 117.066667, 116.381818, 117.604762, 119.71828 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }