{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8402a608-7590-4f19-8f7d-6ddad62a496c",
    "symbol": "BEKE",
    "name": "Ke Holdings\u00a0Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 50.068,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 6.448,
    "architecture_energy": 17.2,
    "architecture_maturity": 18.976,
    "architecture_confidence": 43.134,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 55.7,
        "rotation_up": 55.52,
        "upward_expansion": 32.88,
        "deceleration": 35.73,
        "rotation_down": 16.15,
        "downward_expansion": 22.21
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        16.736,
        16.224909,
        16.305334,
        16.327964
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 17.04,
    "trend_reference": 16.522146,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.031343,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 16.545364,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.029896,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -10.294155,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.073175,
    "excess_performance": -0.1988,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.031343,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.007971,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.029896,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.119326,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.102942,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.065595,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.073175,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.780209,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 9956742,
      "relative_activity": 0.490079,
      "balance": 0.780209,
      "dry_up": 0.797547,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.087193,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.435073,
      "from_high_reference": -0.173456,
      "from_low_reference": 0.233888
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 16.522146,
      "fair_value_reference": 16.545364,
      "structural_low": 13.81,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": -0.027203,
        "positive_rate": 0.388889,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.388889,
        "median_excess_return": -0.034273,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.765914,
        "worst_return": -0.29672,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.093709,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.444444,
        "median_excess_return": -0.11219,
        "regime_survival": 0.111111,
        "best_return": 0.288159,
        "worst_return": -0.400099,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.050461,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.194988,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.660506,
        "worst_return": -0.235587,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.075547,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.028695,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.325309,
        "worst_return": -0.223095,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.196086,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.019533,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.000541,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.0314,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-08-08",
        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.081435,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-09-12",
        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.150473,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-07",
        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.2,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-02-06",
        "end": "2026-02-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.076964,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-02-27",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.03465,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.253473,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-05-15",
        "end": "2026-05-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.086406,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-06-05",
        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.113184,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.053015,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.00531,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 15.89,
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        "typical_volume": 21530213.5,
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        "fair_value": 16.530129,
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        "stage": 1,
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        "direction": -32.351951,
        "energy": 14.560679,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 16.95,
        "volume": 14163286,
        "typical_volume": 21304290.7,
        "trend": 16.51229,
        "fair_value": 16.533104,
        "relative_strength": -8.019567,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -15.866934,
        "energy": 15.604572,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.449333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 17.04,
        "volume": 9956742,
        "typical_volume": 20316587.8,
        "trend": 16.522146,
        "fair_value": 16.545364,
        "relative_strength": -10.294155,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 6.448028,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}