{ "ticker": { "uuid": "84064a23-55e9-43a8-a832-7fb2206b67a0", "symbol": "AA1", "name": "Alcoa Corporation", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 84.379, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.385, "architecture_energy": 87.773, "architecture_maturity": 19.992, "architecture_confidence": 83.725, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.57, "rotation_up": 8.19, "upward_expansion": 21.66, "deceleration": 37.13, "rotation_down": 81.17, "downward_expansion": 97.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 810.95533, 874.438725, 995.288581, 1033.624011 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 850.0, "trend_reference": 1062.366231, "distance_from_trend": -0.199899, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 713.212451, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.191791, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.884708, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.128935, "excess_performance": -0.074268, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.199899, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037031, "read": "Rising" 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"typical_volume": 176.45, "trend": 1076.85332, "fair_value": 710.093608, "relative_strength": -15.28044, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.946284, "energy": 94.90874, "activity_lines": [ 834.857996, 950.963088, 1047.449981, 1067.323755 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 775.0, "volume": 280, "typical_volume": 189.2, "trend": 1070.492708, "fair_value": 711.244981, "relative_strength": -16.573994, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.687967, "energy": 93.094527, "activity_lines": [ 804.829997, 901.791816, 1016.905251, 1047.849347 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 850.0, "volume": 200, "typical_volume": 198.3, "trend": 1062.366231, "fair_value": 713.212451, "relative_strength": -8.884708, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.384925, "energy": 87.773395, "activity_lines": [ 810.95533, 874.438725, 995.288581, 1033.624011 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }