{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8407b4df-50d7-4918-a50a-df31b61444f3", "symbol": "EFOR", "name": "Everforth, Inc.", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 60.423, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 20.116, "architecture_energy": 33.75, "architecture_maturity": 34.565, "architecture_confidence": 47.016, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.64, "rotation_up": 49.73, "upward_expansion": 31.52, "deceleration": 47.2, "rotation_down": 19.34, "downward_expansion": 53.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 26.110667, 23.008364, 22.406143, 25.59843 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 32.22, "trend_reference": 31.219, "distance_from_trend": 0.032064, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 67.883013, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.52536, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -26.289074, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.386286, "excess_performance": -0.511911, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.032064, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.210445, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.52536, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.193635, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.262891, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.347026, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.386286, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.740909, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5655217, "relative_activity": 0.974312, "balance": 1.740909, "dry_up": 0.950721, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.107204, "annualized_volatility": 1.322436, "from_high_reference": -0.413542, "from_low_reference": 0.906509 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31.219, "fair_value_reference": 67.883013, "structural_low": 16.9, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.081464, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.061965, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.013534, "worst_return": -0.153972, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.194609, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.224172, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.061197, "worst_return": -0.285745, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.146225, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.226173, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.226501, "worst_return": -0.617521, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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27.676086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 18.73, "volume": 4485485, "typical_volume": 5803960.0, "trend": 33.44, "fair_value": 68.89641, "relative_strength": -57.404385, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.66254, "energy": 56.222112, "activity_lines": [ 18.339333, 19.069273, 21.861571, 26.662387 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 20.6, "volume": 4364267, "typical_volume": 5882688.45, "trend": 32.459333, "fair_value": 68.523333, "relative_strength": -51.95385, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.030349, "energy": 71.452992, "activity_lines": [ 19.031333, 19.289091, 21.341905, 25.834 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 28.44, "volume": 7568193, "typical_volume": 6060824.3, "trend": 31.852, "fair_value": 68.196026, "relative_strength": -33.484507, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -21.629852, "energy": 22.813438, "activity_lines": [ 22.235333, 20.886364, 21.675048, 25.574688 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 32.22, "volume": 5655217, "typical_volume": 5804319.5, "trend": 31.219, "fair_value": 67.883013, "relative_strength": -26.289074, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 20.116175, "energy": 33.750434, "activity_lines": [ 26.110667, 23.008364, 22.406143, 25.59843 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }