{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "840aa9e3-aea8-4c72-982f-9cd771fc68a0",
    "symbol": "2270",
    "name": "Saudia Dairy & Foodstuff Company",
    "exchange": "SAU",
    "country": "SA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^TASI.SR",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 90.731,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -41.153,
    "architecture_energy": 54.523,
    "architecture_maturity": 16.609,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.25,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 40.44,
        "rotation_up": 16.44,
        "upward_expansion": 17.96,
        "deceleration": 44.88,
        "rotation_down": 65.61,
        "downward_expansion": 54.96
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        206.919997,
        212.256362,
        214.864761,
        214.329073
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 202.399994,
    "trend_reference": 214.774944,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.057618,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 274.072512,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.261509,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -10.075317,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.104781,
    "excess_performance": -0.072952,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.057618,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.02611,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.261509,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.025066,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.100753,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.010512,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.104781,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.434521,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 183870,
      "relative_activity": 1.379532,
      "balance": 1.434521,
      "dry_up": 1.053858,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.047355,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.189972,
      "from_high_reference": -0.292139,
      "from_low_reference": 0.082353
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 214.774944,
      "fair_value_reference": 274.072512,
      "structural_low": 187.0,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.003185,
        "positive_rate": 0.545455,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.545455,
        "median_excess_return": 0.012146,
        "regime_survival": 0.636364,
        "best_return": 0.130299,
        "worst_return": -0.08,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.028235,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010284,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.276367,
        "worst_return": -0.06566,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.078334,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.079815,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.12753,
        "worst_return": -0.102385,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.205499,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.221016,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.331512,
        "worst_return": 0.079485,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-02-02",
        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.038417,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-07-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.007615,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-07-26",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.079545,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-09-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.051683,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-09-27",
        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.018692,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.0271,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-11-08",
        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.042045,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.027988,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.083446,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-10-24",
        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.167361,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-12-05",
        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.073466,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-05-15",
        "end": "2026-06-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.034483,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.030973,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.076642,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -34.755134,
        "energy": 20.696389,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 213.199997,
        "volume": 66110,
        "typical_volume": 142202.8,
        "trend": 229.858768,
        "fair_value": 278.646924,
        "relative_strength": -12.350016,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 143885.35,
        "trend": 228.124392,
        "fair_value": 278.510488,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 23.251111,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 212.600006,
        "volume": 192535,
        "typical_volume": 149795.5,
        "trend": 226.282907,
        "fair_value": 278.433954,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 214.600006,
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        "typical_volume": 169689.1,
        "trend": 224.206636,
        "fair_value": 278.278974,
        "relative_strength": -9.631767,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 18.578417,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 176109.1,
        "trend": 222.350616,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 90824,
        "typical_volume": 173784.2,
        "trend": 218.918389,
        "fair_value": 277.668477,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 277.079344,
        "relative_strength": -5.46721,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 26.819238,
        "energy": 29.410401,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 58380,
        "typical_volume": 157355.65,
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        "fair_value": 276.620677,
        "relative_strength": -4.170594,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 220.0,
        "volume": 73735,
        "typical_volume": 140530.85,
        "trend": 217.637062,
        "fair_value": 276.277097,
        "relative_strength": -3.399549,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 12.052963,
        "energy": 12.202015,
        "activity_lines": [
          220.519999,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 217.5,
        "volume": 47580,
        "typical_volume": 134361.1,
        "trend": 217.344313,
        "fair_value": 275.872409,
        "relative_strength": -3.450007,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 6.815539,
        "energy": 6.633035,
        "activity_lines": [
          219.273333,
          220.225454,
          217.98,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 208.0,
        "volume": 107587,
        "typical_volume": 127674.75,
        "trend": 216.677172,
        "fair_value": 275.284769,
        "relative_strength": -7.941702,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -19.077504,
        "energy": 15.569488,
        "activity_lines": [
          215.16,
          218.00909,
          217.279523,
          216.046036
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 203.199997,
        "volume": 222814,
        "typical_volume": 126695.75,
        "trend": 215.53575,
        "fair_value": 274.699348,
        "relative_strength": -7.983829,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -39.007331,
        "energy": 35.159957,
        "activity_lines": [
          210.646665,
          215.039999,
          216.095714,
          215.176541
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 202.399994,
        "volume": 183870,
        "typical_volume": 133284.3,
        "trend": 214.774944,
        "fair_value": 274.072512,
        "relative_strength": -10.075317,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -41.153202,
        "energy": 54.523109,
        "activity_lines": [
          206.919997,
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          214.329073
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}