{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "841088a3-0073-4060-b7e3-38ab65648a0e",
    "symbol": "BALPHARMA",
    "name": "Bal Pharma Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 77.901,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 60.303,
    "architecture_energy": 49.473,
    "architecture_maturity": 13.757,
    "architecture_confidence": 90.85,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.75,
        "rotation_up": 61.22,
        "upward_expansion": 81.31,
        "deceleration": 51.4,
        "rotation_down": 17.71,
        "downward_expansion": 10.31
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        87.591333,
        85.653636,
        84.002143,
        81.271742
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 89.230003,
    "trend_reference": 77.796667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.146964,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 97.392151,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.083807,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 13.793755,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.27599,
    "excess_performance": 0.319699,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.146964,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045078,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.083807,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.095829,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.137938,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.128501,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.27599,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 6.119845,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 79535,
      "relative_activity": 0.574582,
      "balance": 6.119845,
      "dry_up": 2.422557,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.086337,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.355574,
      "from_high_reference": -0.097319,
      "from_low_reference": 0.487167
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 77.796667,
      "fair_value_reference": 97.392151,
      "structural_low": 60.0,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": -0.026628,
        "positive_rate": 0.388889,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.388889,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008946,
        "regime_survival": 0.611111,
        "best_return": 0.130083,
        "worst_return": -0.142889,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.006008,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.006316,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.267027,
        "worst_return": -0.130546,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.048369,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.05123,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.00397,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.076057,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.051091,
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        "best_return": 0.2752,
        "worst_return": -0.164465,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2025-01-24",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2026-04-17",
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        "relative_strength": -3.705869,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -3.27342,
        "energy": 3.21062,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 76.300003,
        "volume": 24557,
        "typical_volume": 48004.2,
        "trend": 74.603334,
        "fair_value": 97.725447,
        "relative_strength": -3.609395,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 13.913072,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 46337.1,
        "trend": 74.360667,
        "fair_value": 97.704702,
        "relative_strength": -3.609422,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 48666.4,
        "trend": 74.262334,
        "fair_value": 97.700529,
        "relative_strength": 0.943616,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 36.798183,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 56866.8,
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        "fair_value": 97.685289,
        "relative_strength": 2.962238,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 35.194877,
        "energy": 48.422247,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 62379.3,
        "trend": 74.185334,
        "fair_value": 97.677039,
        "relative_strength": 5.843891,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 39.643278,
        "energy": 49.292796,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 509987,
        "typical_volume": 86902.5,
        "trend": 74.441001,
        "fair_value": 97.712585,
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.974642,
        "energy": 70.742636,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 86.230003,
        "volume": 56220,
        "typical_volume": 88363.95,
        "trend": 74.586668,
        "fair_value": 97.718852,
        "relative_strength": 13.156962,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.749872,
        "energy": 66.693425,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 86.190002,
        "volume": 70095,
        "typical_volume": 87556.75,
        "trend": 74.779668,
        "fair_value": 97.724552,
        "relative_strength": 12.194662,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 64.481169,
        "energy": 66.237731,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "fair_value": 97.72381,
        "relative_strength": 11.382709,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 64.538062,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 83.269997,
        "volume": 0,
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        "fair_value": 97.689393,
        "relative_strength": 6.868964,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.052741,
        "energy": 41.436465,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 77.949997,
        "volume": 25102,
        "typical_volume": 82896.35,
        "trend": 75.597667,
        "fair_value": 97.623974,
        "relative_strength": -0.372173,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 40.94309,
        "energy": 25.085621,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 79.400002,
        "volume": 71079,
        "typical_volume": 82410.1,
        "trend": 75.792667,
        "fair_value": 97.541797,
        "relative_strength": 2.13107,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.403908,
        "energy": 19.949908,
        "activity_lines": [
          81.230666,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 86.970001,
        "volume": 673740,
        "typical_volume": 113180.2,
        "trend": 76.226668,
        "fair_value": 97.516209,
        "relative_strength": 11.541836,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.641535,
        "energy": 22.607285,
        "activity_lines": [
          82.644667,
          83.66891,
          81.405382,
          79.048904
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 87.339996,
        "volume": 369648,
        "typical_volume": 129533.5,
        "trend": 76.742334,
        "fair_value": 97.468182,
        "relative_strength": 14.827073,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.802988,
        "energy": 23.632603,
        "activity_lines": [
          84.129999,
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          82.264286,
          79.765893
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 88.089996,
        "volume": 218420,
        "typical_volume": 137058.0,
        "trend": 77.237001,
        "fair_value": 97.414417,
        "relative_strength": 13.070273,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.32496,
        "energy": 35.014445,
        "activity_lines": [
          85.831331,
          84.927999,
          83.123809,
          80.498
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 89.230003,
        "volume": 79535,
        "typical_volume": 138422.25,
        "trend": 77.796667,
        "fair_value": 97.392151,
        "relative_strength": 13.793755,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.302938,
        "energy": 49.472645,
        "activity_lines": [
          87.591333,
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          84.002143,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}