{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8410d5aa-6816-49ab-b620-8da28e78292c", "symbol": "SWKS", "name": "Skyworks Solutions, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 79.727, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -40.47, "architecture_energy": 49.069, "architecture_maturity": 40.904, "architecture_confidence": 70.19, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.98, "rotation_up": 14.01, "upward_expansion": 19.76, "deceleration": 62.88, "rotation_down": 68.61, "downward_expansion": 42.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 1143.0, 1190.818182, 1210.94753, 1185.415485 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 1105.0, "trend_reference": 1162.724349, "distance_from_trend": -0.049646, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1536.872034, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.281007, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -13.965809, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.126662, "excess_performance": 0.181329, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.049646, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020944, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.281007, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004013, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.139658, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.064224, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.126662, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.168548, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.168548, "dry_up": 1.24835, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.043206, "annualized_volatility": 0.39183, "from_high_reference": -0.300851, "from_low_reference": 0.126662 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1162.724349, "fair_value_reference": 1536.872034, "structural_low": 989.414246, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.011053, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.040104, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.1875, "worst_return": -0.123849, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.029441, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.056014, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.119177, "worst_return": -0.240105, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.014774, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.077932, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.053667, "worst_return": -0.259057, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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1554.91285, "relative_strength": -8.17365, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.626084, "energy": 28.798851, "activity_lines": [ 1248.0, 1280.305209, 1220.731291, 1190.418642 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1200.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 198.95, "trend": 1173.403141, "fair_value": 1550.519409, "relative_strength": -7.756937, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.938911, "energy": 33.812517, "activity_lines": [ 1224.0, 1267.015945, 1223.564198, 1192.041117 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1200.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 198.95, "trend": 1171.954655, "fair_value": 1546.125969, "relative_strength": -6.838852, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.733195, "energy": 37.508826, "activity_lines": [ 1208.0, 1252.714362, 1225.818349, 1193.757044 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1105.0, "volume": 1324, "typical_volume": 265.15, "trend": 1167.339502, "fair_value": 1541.499002, "relative_strength": -14.382784, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -8.643561, "energy": 30.905455, "activity_lines": [ 1168.333333, 1220.909091, 1218.446127, 1189.437388 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1105.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 265.15, "trend": 1162.724349, "fair_value": 1536.872034, "relative_strength": -13.965809, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -40.469559, "energy": 49.068579, "activity_lines": [ 1143.0, 1190.818182, 1210.94753, 1185.415485 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }