{ "ticker": { "uuid": "84157979-b7d6-41fd-8826-5661cb8c8ea3", "symbol": "UESG", "name": "Amundi MSCI USA ESG Selection Extra UCITS ETF DR - USD (D)", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 82.894, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 86.017, "architecture_energy": 66.937, "architecture_maturity": 78.831, "architecture_confidence": 58.014, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.23, "rotation_up": 53.92, "upward_expansion": 82.62, "deceleration": 71.16, "rotation_down": 28.69, "downward_expansion": 11.62 }, "activity_lines": [ 52.433333, 52.164364, 51.402143, 50.190942 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 53.849998, "trend_reference": 48.839185, "distance_from_trend": 0.102598, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 43.410295, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.240489, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.820094, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.16569, "excess_performance": -0.005202, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.102598, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037279, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.240489, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.060883, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.028201, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003373, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.16569, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.372278, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4285, "relative_activity": 0.141741, "balance": 0.372278, "dry_up": 3.224585, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.019549, "annualized_volatility": 0.136008, "from_high_reference": -0.008835, "from_low_reference": 0.243218 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 48.839185, "fair_value_reference": 43.410295, "structural_low": 43.314999, 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expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.211546, "energy": 66.217053, "activity_lines": [ 52.000001, 51.790727, 50.544857, 49.443008 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 51.470001, "volume": 93071, "typical_volume": 30204.65, "trend": 48.479808, "fair_value": 43.271337, "relative_strength": -3.942233, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.363919, "energy": 62.255578, "activity_lines": [ 51.844001, 51.761637, 50.772119, 49.645494 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 51.73, "volume": 28391, "typical_volume": 30818.35, "trend": 48.645752, "fair_value": 43.333533, "relative_strength": -3.974878, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.758806, "energy": 55.243829, "activity_lines": [ 51.800001, 51.774182, 51.00031, 49.855184 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 53.849998, "volume": 4285, "typical_volume": 30231.1, "trend": 48.839185, "fair_value": 43.410295, "relative_strength": -2.820094, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.016713, "energy": 66.936925, "activity_lines": [ 52.433333, 52.164364, 51.402143, 50.190942 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }