{ "ticker": { "uuid": "84241f71-d244-4ee8-9255-e791709c2093", "symbol": "OCTZ", "name": "TRUESHARES STRUCTURED OUTCOME (OCTOBER) ETF", "exchange": "CBOE", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 65.363, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 82.222, "architecture_energy": 55.962, "architecture_maturity": 47.632, "architecture_confidence": 75.751, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.09, "rotation_up": 55.65, "upward_expansion": 81.23, "deceleration": 60.54, "rotation_down": 25.97, "downward_expansion": 7.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 45.94152, 45.710815, 45.392247, 44.709035 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 46.93, "trend_reference": 43.94141, "distance_from_trend": 0.068013, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 37.756765, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.242956, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.784956, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.092562, "excess_performance": -0.033063, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.068013, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024441, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.242956, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003166, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.02785, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001733, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.092562, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.120826, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 41585, "relative_activity": 0.604091, "balance": 1.120826, "dry_up": 0.22358, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.018147, "annualized_volatility": 0.115356, "from_high_reference": -0.000852, "from_low_reference": 0.171364 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 43.94141, "fair_value_reference": 37.756765, "structural_low": 40.24, 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"fair_value": 37.364877, "relative_strength": -2.618637, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.830999, "energy": 53.219438, "activity_lines": [ 45.558667, 45.515656, 44.777366, 44.172867 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 45.41, "volume": 4064, "typical_volume": 100470.0, "trend": 43.64262, "fair_value": 37.459854, "relative_strength": -2.421187, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.001582, "energy": 45.284039, "activity_lines": [ 45.537227, 45.502347, 44.920362, 44.293254 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 45.1804, "volume": 1608, "typical_volume": 99589.7, "trend": 43.717747, "fair_value": 37.551789, "relative_strength": -2.259637, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.854316, "energy": 41.770761, "activity_lines": [ 45.43392, 45.443125, 45.028239, 44.392466 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 45.51, "volume": 14307, "typical_volume": 82479.55, "trend": 43.815423, "fair_value": 37.649508, "relative_strength": -2.513046, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.387709, "energy": 42.667581, "activity_lines": [ 45.48072, 45.446915, 45.152146, 44.508095 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 46.93, "volume": 41585, "typical_volume": 68839.0, "trend": 43.94141, "fair_value": 37.756765, "relative_strength": -2.784956, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.222075, "energy": 55.961716, "activity_lines": [ 45.94152, 45.710815, 45.392247, 44.709035 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }