{ "ticker": { "uuid": "842bcc1c-1914-4164-8ef4-e4916e459e27", "symbol": "U1LT34", "name": "Ulta Beauty, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -0.174, "architecture_energy": 19.441, "architecture_maturity": 84.35, "architecture_confidence": 41.061, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.65, "rotation_up": 39.68, "upward_expansion": 22.19, "deceleration": 44.17, "rotation_down": 14.73, "downward_expansion": 56.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 129.67, 125.409272, 125.602094, 131.040493 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 139.169998, "trend_reference": 141.558999, "distance_from_trend": -0.016876, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 123.405705, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.127744, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -7.549623, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.22649, "excess_performance": -0.169441, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.016876, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.071984, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.127744, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.079941, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.075496, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.178812, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.22649, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.308194, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11, "relative_activity": 0.078375, "balance": 0.308194, "dry_up": 2.732455, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.045456, "annualized_volatility": 0.379372, "from_high_reference": -0.236295, "from_low_reference": 0.202956 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 141.558999, "fair_value_reference": 123.405705, 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-50.889279, "energy": 52.366312, "activity_lines": [ 120.891334, 120.757272, 124.369094, 132.170472 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 130.139999, "volume": 22, "typical_volume": 157.9, "trend": 142.804332, "fair_value": 123.202051, "relative_strength": -16.563206, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.520478, "energy": 32.65428, "activity_lines": [ 123.953333, 122.271636, 124.526189, 131.274966 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 139.169998, "volume": 11, "typical_volume": 140.35, "trend": 141.558999, "fair_value": 123.405705, "relative_strength": -7.549623, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -0.173682, "energy": 19.441145, "activity_lines": [ 129.67, 125.409272, 125.602094, 131.040493 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }