{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8431f5f3-c788-49c2-bb17-33314818173e", "symbol": "300497", "name": "Jiangxi Fushine Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 30.794, "architecture_energy": 19.821, "architecture_maturity": 37.058, "architecture_confidence": 89.249, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.56, "rotation_up": 27.4, "upward_expansion": 50.39, "deceleration": 87.94, "rotation_down": 38.93, "downward_expansion": 27.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.631333, 18.213454, 17.954429, 17.708925 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 19.049999, "trend_reference": 17.317333, "distance_from_trend": 0.100054, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 11.406795, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.670057, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 22.564187, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.259921, "excess_performance": 0.252521, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.100054, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.069037, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.670057, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00086, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.225642, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.060574, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.259921, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.406948, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 178543947, "relative_activity": 0.883498, "balance": 0.406948, "dry_up": 1.086818, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.136725, "annualized_volatility": 0.640001, "from_high_reference": -0.173536, "from_low_reference": 1.026596 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.317333, "fair_value_reference": 11.406795, "structural_low": 13.99, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.012177, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.000529, "regime_survival": 0.466667, "best_return": 0.350327, "worst_return": -0.176186, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.024249, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.114435, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.572034, "worst_return": -0.163068, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.025335, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.019951, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.730508, "worst_return": -0.285182, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.062528, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.119056, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.98476, "worst_return": -0.305381, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-09-06", "end": "2024-10-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.18018, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2024-11-08", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.323232, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-11-15", "end": "2024-12-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.188788, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.121681, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.115033, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.020556, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.086753, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.041126, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.587549, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-03-06", "end": "2026-03-27", 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17.02, "volume": 242797449, "typical_volume": 192694150.75, "trend": 17.175, "fair_value": 11.35609, "relative_strength": 15.219175, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.042777, "energy": 15.562913, "activity_lines": [ 18.189333, 18.222727, 17.961286, 17.638022 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 16.41, "volume": 205808087, "typical_volume": 197759736.1, "trend": 17.186, "fair_value": 11.372628, "relative_strength": 12.067339, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.822515, "energy": 15.773697, "activity_lines": [ 17.328667, 17.982, 17.834048, 17.588667 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.049999, "volume": 178543947, "typical_volume": 202087541.35, "trend": 17.317333, "fair_value": 11.406795, "relative_strength": 22.564187, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.794014, "energy": 19.820911, "activity_lines": [ 17.631333, 18.213454, 17.954429, 17.708925 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }