{ "ticker": { "uuid": "84353ee8-f090-48c7-8915-eb79c2599fcd", "symbol": "ABLV", "name": "Able View Global Inc. Class B Ordinary Shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 8.724, "architecture_energy": 20.849, "architecture_maturity": 47.909, "architecture_confidence": 73.812, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.91, "rotation_up": 16.95, "upward_expansion": 54.1, "deceleration": 89.6, "rotation_down": 43.69, "downward_expansion": 22.44 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.884333, 0.97, 0.96921, 0.912783 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.821, "trend_reference": 0.848463, "distance_from_trend": -0.032368, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.413818, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.419303, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -14.556186, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.000122, "excess_performance": -0.187575, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.032368, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.127276, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.419303, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.211322, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.145562, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.074644, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.000122, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.55872, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 154532, "relative_activity": 0.107704, "balance": 1.55872, "dry_up": 0.12719, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.205444, "annualized_volatility": 0.78937, "from_high_reference": -0.536158, "from_low_reference": 0.520089 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.848463, "fair_value_reference": 1.413818, "structural_low": 0.5401, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-03-22", "end": "2024-04-12", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.259173, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-04-19", "end": "2024-08-23", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.049689, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-30", "end": "2024-09-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.371795, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-10-04", "end": "2025-01-31", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.156608, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": 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"activity_lines": [ 1.077333, 0.974747, 0.85524, 0.815299 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 1.12, "volume": 284601, "typical_volume": 1340301.0, "trend": 0.78865, "fair_value": 1.825863, "relative_strength": 9.519638, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.057553, "energy": 70.453304, "activity_lines": [ 1.096, 1.017538, 0.88574, 0.837646 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 1.1, "volume": 500069, "typical_volume": 1361480.65, "trend": 0.803316, "fair_value": 1.764837, "relative_strength": 13.120649, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.717078, "energy": 50.033265, "activity_lines": [ 1.101333, 1.047329, 0.912385, 0.857733 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 1.19, "volume": 517463, "typical_volume": 1386513.95, "trend": 0.81705, "fair_value": 1.704517, "relative_strength": 21.508173, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.245968, "energy": 50.959124, "activity_lines": [ 1.132, 1.086938, 0.946273, 0.88268 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 1.03, "volume": 355075, "typical_volume": 1403558.95, "trend": 0.823783, "fair_value": 1.64317, "relative_strength": 3.517737, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.670972, "energy": 40.310009, "activity_lines": [ 1.103333, 1.089796, 0.963161, 0.896419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.01, "volume": 241990, "typical_volume": 1415162.4, "trend": 0.830116, "fair_value": 1.581311, "relative_strength": 6.575571, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.961031, "energy": 31.770732, "activity_lines": [ 1.070667, 1.081273, 0.97705, 0.908433 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.93, "volume": 179628, "typical_volume": 1420638.55, "trend": 0.839113, "fair_value": 1.518876, "relative_strength": 0.53798, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.249901, "energy": 22.046995, "activity_lines": [ 1.017333, 1.054545, 0.981985, 0.914877 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.83, "volume": 153812, "typical_volume": 1427812.55, "trend": 0.844346, "fair_value": 1.46567, "relative_strength": -9.973362, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.263592, "energy": 18.440537, "activity_lines": [ 0.943333, 1.011273, 0.97636, 0.914289 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.821, "volume": 154532, "typical_volume": 1434786.2, "trend": 0.848463, "fair_value": 1.413818, "relative_strength": -14.556186, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.724113, "energy": 20.849192, "activity_lines": [ 0.884333, 0.97, 0.96921, 0.912783 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }